'investor'에 해당되는 글 10건

  1. 2008.12.20 Auto Rescue Fails To Inspire Investor by CEOinIRVINE
  2. 2008.12.16 Bonds Are Back by CEOinIRVINE
  3. 2008.12.11 Yahoo investor urges search unit sale to Microsoft by CEOinIRVINE
  4. 2008.12.03 Double Digit Returns From Stocks And Bonds? by CEOinIRVINE
  5. 2008.11.04 What Happened to the investor class? by CEOinIRVINE
  6. 2008.11.03 Europe shares gain as investors bet on rate cuts by CEOinIRVINE
  7. 2008.10.19 Nokia: Investors Cheer Mixed Results by CEOinIRVINE
  8. 2008.10.18 Markets Fluctuate as Investors Digest Weak Housing Data by CEOinIRVINE
  9. 2008.10.10 Investor Confidence Dashed as Bailout Fails to Quickly Loosen Credit by CEOinIRVINE
  10. 2008.10.02 Investors Pulling Billions Out of U.S. Stock Markets by CEOinIRVINE

Wall Street drifted into the dusk on Friday, as investors closed out positions ahead of a holiday-shortened week and mulled the much-anticipated rescue plan for Detroit's auto industry.

The U.S. Treasury will use $17.4 billion of its Troubled Asset Relief Program piggybank on bridge loans for General Motors (nyse: GM - news - people ) and Chrysler designed to keep the automakers afloat while they restructure. The money will be doled out in two parts, an immediate $13.4 billion outlay followed by another $4.0 billion in February, with the goal of putting the car companies on a path to survival by the end of March. (See "A Band Aid Or A Bailout?")

GM shares jumped 15.3% but the broader market stalled Friday. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 26 points, or 0.3%, to 8,579, losing 0.6% on the week, and is down 35.3% in 2008. The S&P 500 gained 2 points, or 0.3%, to 888, adding 0.9% for the week to shave its year-to-date loss to 39.5%; and the Nasdaq climbed 12 points, or 0.8%, to 1,564 Friday, to lock in a 1.5% five-day gain and trim its 2008 decline to 41.0%. Ford Motor (nyse: F - news - people ), which requested a credit line from the government but not a bridge loan, gained 1.8% late in the session.

The banking sector was under the gun after Standard & Poor's cut its long-term debt ratings on a dozen firms. Morgan Stanley (nyse: MS - news - people ) and Citigroup (nyse: C - news - people ) were among the hardest hit of the companies affected by the cut, down 4.1% and 5.9%, respectively, which S&P attributed to continued pressure on complex financial institutions and the likelihood of ongoing volatility in funding markets. The SPDR KBW Bank (nyse: KBE - news - people )exchange-traded fund was off 1.5% near the close.

Traders in the energy pits sent oil prices lower Friday, as crude dropped $2.35, to $33.87 a barrel. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries announced a 2.2 million barrel production cut on Wednesday, but move has been greeted with skepticism, as market watchers question whether the output decrease can overcome plunging demand caused by the global economic downturn. United States Oil Fund (nyse: USO - news - people ), an exchange-traded vehicle that tracks crude and other products, gained 0.9% though, as prices ticked higher in electronic trading after the January crude contract expired at day's end. (See "Market Judges OPEC Goal A Mere Paper Cut.")


Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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Bonds Are Back

Business 2008. 12. 16. 06:55

Long-time subscribers to Forbes/Lehmann Income Securities Investor will recall our various moans and groans about the bond market and its lack of any reasonable returns when compared to similar products among the preferreds. Well, things have changed, and this time for the better.

In fact, yields reached their bottom in October when AAA yields were at 6.9% and BBB at 10.2%. These are the kinds of returns we were used to seeing in preferreds last year--and then for much lower quality issuers.


At the end of November, the returns for AAA stood at 5.96% and BBB at 9.99 but with one big difference. U.S. Treasuries have sunk to a yield of only 2.84%, a leap of faith for a 10-year instrument that faces a Federal Reserve Bank, which is still inflating its balance sheet from a recent $800 billion to now $3 trillion and counting.

Special Offer: Richard Lehmann's portfolio of safe, conservative, high-yield fixed-income securities has beaten the stock market for years. Given the market pullback, some of his recommendations are now providing yields as high as 30%. Click here for his current buy list.

It takes a really scared investor to think he is safer lending the Treasury money at 2.84% versus, say, General Electric (nyse: GE - news - people ) at 7%. Are investors so focused on a complete financial meltdown that they choose to ignore the greater threat of inflation over a 10-year period. Oh sure, you say, they can always sell the 10-year Treasuries when the crisis passes, but then who do you think will buy them at this yield? Certainly not Mr. Market.

Real-Time Quotes
12/15/2008 3:59PM ET
  • GE
  • $16.95
  • -0.94%
  • AA
  • $9.91
  • -1.69%
  • ARW
  • $15.79
  • -3.60%
  • XRX
  • $7.20
  • -7.10%

In any case, this month's Forbes/Lehmann Income Securities Investor features the first of, we hope, many more months in which we can recommend a complete complement of bonds. Well, not exactly complete in the sense that we are still reticent to recommend single B and CCC-rated issues despite their mouth-watering yields.

Secure your retirement with income from bonds, preferreds and convertibles. Click here to learn how with Forbes Lehmann Income Securities Investor.

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Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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One of Yahoo Inc.'s largest shareholders, Ivory Investment Management LP, is urging the Internet company to pursue a sale of its search unit to Microsoft.

In a letter to the company's board, the investment firm proposed a deal Wednesday in which Microsoft (nasdaq: MSFT - news - people ) would acquire Yahoo (nasdaq: YHOO - news - people )'s search engine and Yahoo would retain 80 percent of revenue generated by search queries on its own site.

Ivory said Yahoo could get about $15 billion from Microsoft for the search platform alone, a deal it said would give shareholders a value of $24 to $29 per share, or more than double Yahoo stock's closing share price Tuesday of $12.19.

Yahoo shares rose 62 cents, 5.1 percent, to $12.81 in morning trading Wednesday.

Yahoo Chief Executive Jerry Yang said recently that he would resign, a response to shareholder discontent that brewed after Yahoo rebuffed a $47.5 billion takeover offer from Microsoft for the entire company. Before stepping down, Yang said he was still open to some kind of a deal with Microsoft, after antitrust concerns sank Yahoo's planned advertising partnership with Google Inc. (nasdaq: GOOG - news - people )

Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer has said a takeover of Yahoo is off the table but has expressed interest in the company's search business.

In the letter Wednesday, Ivory took Yahoo's board to task for not seeking a deal with Microsoft more aggressively and accused the company of ignoring shareholder interests. The firm holds 21.4 million, or about 1.5 percent, of Yahoo's shares.

Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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The Forbes.com Investor Team tries to build a portfolio that will rebound strongly in 2009.

Yes, it's true. Investments can appreciate. Even as the S&P fell on Monday, the Forbes.com Investor Team happened on an asset allocation model that they hope yields double-digit returns over one and (annualized) over five years. No promises here, of course, but it is nice to hear investment strategists talk about growth again.

Dr. Bob Froehlich, chief investment strategist at DWS (Deutsche Bank's (nyse: DB - news - people ) retail unit) offered up his formula:

 

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Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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The pounding of the U.S. economy and stock markets seems to have shaken the support of key "investor class" voters for the Republican Presidential nominee, Arizona Senator John McCain.

In a nationwide telephone poll of 1,208 people taken from Oct. 26-30 by Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby, McCain edged the Democratic nominee, Illinois Senator Barack Obama, among those who identified themselves as "investors" by 50.4% to 43.8%, with 5.8% "not sure." That was down sharply from a 15-point lead for McCain in a similar poll taken a month earlier. (Among non-investors, Obama led 56% to 36.1% in the most recent survey.)

"[The data] underscores more than anything else how much the financial crisis hurt McCain," says John Zogby, founder of the Utica (N.Y.)-based polling firm Zogby International. "In response to the crisis, McCain was erratic, frantic, and misspoken."

A Building Block for Bush

The good news for McCain? He seems to have recovered a bit since the darkest days of the financial crisis. A poll taken on Oct. 21, while stocks were at their most volatile, had him tied with Obama among investors.

Clearly, the investor class—which many pollsters define as those who have more than $5,000 invested in the stock market—is critical to a McCain victory. About 35% of voters belong to that group, and it was a key building block of George W. Bush's two victories, especially in 2004, when Bush won the support of investors by a wide margin over Democrat John Kerry. "If McCain doesn't win it—and win it big—he loses the election," says Zogby.

Candidates on both the Republican and Democrat sides aimed their pitches at this group early on, whether it was McCain's vow to maintain the Bush tax cuts or Senator Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) and Obama's promise to limit capital-gains tax increases. In February, BusinessWeek revisited some of the investor-class voters (BusinessWeek, 2/14/08) we profiled in September 2004. We found they had done well in the intervening years but were just beginning to feel the pinch of the downturn in home prices and economic growth.

No Great Faith in Either Candidate

McCain's recent recovery may reflect his pounding at Obama over tax plans. He altered his tax plan on Oct. 31, saying for the first time that he would like to slash capital-gains taxes in half on a permanent basis, and not just for the next two years, as he'd previously promised.

Pat Consolmagno, an 87-year-old retiree in Englewood, Fla., seems typical of those investors who are sticking with McCain. She voted for Bush in 2004 and is adamantly backing the Republican candidate this cycle. Consolmagno and her 90-year-old husband, Joe, live off the roughly $80,000 they get from earnings on their mutual funds and savings, Social Security, and a Chrysler pension. She says their investments "are not worth what they were." But she doesn't believe the financial meltdown is the fault of one political party, and doesn't trust Obama to solve the problems.

"Obama? I don't think he's got a clue," she says. "I don't think either [candidate] is a genius when it comes to the markets; we're just sitting here waiting to see what happens."

Skepticism of Republicans

McCain seemed to have a strong hold on investors' loyalty early in the fall, as he promoted his "maverick" image and tried to distance himself from Bush. But after the implosion of AIG (AIG) and Lehman Brothers, and the ensuing debate about a Wall Street bailout, McCain's lead began to shrink.

Investors in general have been more skeptical of the Republican Party (BusinessWeek, 4/24/06) since 2006. At that time, investors polled by Zogby expressed uneasiness with President Bush's handling of Hurricane Katrina, the Iraq war, and the deficit. While Bush received the votes of 61% of investors in 2004, he had slid to a 43% job-approval rating by 2006, according to Zogby.

"The Republican Party brand has clearly been hurt," says Dan Clifton, a Washington-based analyst with Strategas Research Partners, a New York investment research firm. Clifton points out that as the financial crisis hit in earnest at the end of September, McCain's luck began to change.

"Obama stood up with American flags and economic advisers saying, 'I know you are hurting. Help is on the way,'" says Clifton. "He offered solace and guidance while McCain offered confusion."

Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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LONDON, Nov 3 (Reuters) - European stocks rose early on

Monday, heading for a fifth straight day of gains as oil shares

climbed and investors cheered the prospect of likely rate cuts

in Europe this week.

At 0958 GMT the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index

was up 0.3 percent at 931.19 points, tracking gains in Asia

overnight and on Wall Street on Friday. But the index is down 38

percent this year, rattled by the ongoing financial crisis.

Commodities shares led the advance, in spite of a fresh dip

in the oil price. Shares in BP (nyse: BP - news - people ), Royal Dutch Shell (nyse: RDSA - news - people ) and Total added between 0.9 and 1.6 percent.

Among miners, Kazakhmys, Xstrata (other-otc: XSRAF.PK - news - people ) and Vedanta

Resources added between 7.7 and 12.4 percent as a weaker

dollar helped to lift gold prices.

The European Central Bank and the Bank of England are

expected to lower interest rates this week, following recent

rate cuts by China, India, Japan and the United States.

'Given the massive scale of the reflation efforts we now see

globally, be it in the form of rate cuts or fiscal packages, the

odds of a more durable rally have increased, albeit that the bad

news will not be over' said Gerhard Schwarz, head of global

equity strategy at UniCredit in Munich.

'It will be erratic going forward and a bit more choppy, but

nonetheless the odds have improved that the markets have found a

bottom for now.'

Major U.S. stock indexes rose by 1.3-1.6 percent on Friday,

while Europe's FTSEurofirst 300 registered a 2.8

percent gain in the previous session.

A choppy banks sector also rose. Societe Generale

gained 2.3 percent after reporting third-quarter net profit was

down 83.7 percent but saying it is financially strong enough to

withstand the difficult market environment.

Standard Chartered (other-otc: SCBEF.PK - news - people ) added 4.4 percent and

Commerzbank rose 9.3 percent after saying it will take

an 8.2 billion euro ($10.5 billion) capital injection from the

German state and a further 15 billion in guaranteed funding to

secure refinancing.

Germany's second-biggest bank also said it swung to a net

loss of 285 million euros in the third quarter after a profit of

339 million in same period last year.

But Barclays (nyse: BCS - news - people ) sagged 6.4 percent on concern that

raising capital privately is too expensive and dilutive.

Barclays is raising 7 billion pounds, mostly from investors

in Abu Dhabi and Qatar. Analysts at Merrill Lynch (nyse: MER - news - people ) estimated the

fundraising may cost investors 3.2 billion pounds.

Deutsche Bank (nyse: DB - news - people ) rose 7.2 percent. Germany's largest

bank will not tap into a rescue fund launched by the German

government to help banks hit by the global financial crisis, its

chief executive said on Sunday.

PHARMAS GAIN

Shares in UCB gained 12.6 percent after U.S.

regulators approved the Belgian drugmaker's over-active bladder

drug Toviaz, which is being distributed by Pfizer (nyse: PFE - news - people ).

Other pharmaceuticals forged higher, with Novartis (nyse: NVS - news - people )

up 0.8 percent, GlaxoSmithKline (nyse: GSK - news - people ) rising 1 percent and

Merck (nyse: MRK - news - people ) up 1.6 percent.

Defensive utilities shares also rose, with E.ON (nyse: EON - news - people )

gaining 4.8 percent, RWE up 2.6 percent and Veolia adding 0.8 percent.

Volkswagen (other-otc: VLKAF.PK - news - people ) (VW) shed about 13 percent and was the

biggest percentage faller in Europe. Ordinary shares in VW could

be expelled from the DAX index as early next Thursday,

the Frankfurt stock exchange operator said on Friday.

Separately, VW plans to produce virtually all the components

for motors used in hybrid and electric vehicles on its own,

unlike competitors who rely on suppliers, German magazine auto

motor und sport reported. The magazine said, citing company

sources, VW wants to invest 3.2 billion euros in the coming five

years into new component production sites.

Meanwhile, Equinet cut its price target on the stock to 82

euros from 88 euros.

Renault (other-otc: RNSDY.PK - news - people ) added 1.5 percent. The group said it

expected Nissan (nasdaq: NSANY - news - people )'s fiscal second-quarter earnings to

lead to a contribution of 189 million euros to Renault's

second-half net profit.

(Editing by Victoria Bryan)

Keywords: MARKETS EUROPE STOCKS ============================================================= For rolling updates on what is moving European shares please click on ============================================================= For pan-Europeanmarket data and news, click on codes in brackets: European Equities speed guide................... FTSEurofirst 300 index.............................. DJ STOXX index...................................... Top 10 STOXX sectors........................... Top 10 EUROSTOXX sectors...................... Top 10 Eurofirst 300 sectors................... Top 25 European pct gainers....................... Top 25 European pct losers........................ Main stock markets: Dow Jones............... Wall Street report ..... Nikkei 225............. Tokyo report............ FTSE 100............... London report........... Xetra DAX............. Frankfurt market stories CAC-40................. Paris market stories... World Indices...................................... Reuters survey of world bourse outlook.......... Western European IPO diary........................... European Asset Allocation......................... Reuters News at a Glance: Equities............... Main currency report:............................... Keywords: MARKETS EUROPE STOCKS/ =2

(rebekah.curtis@reuters.com; +44 20 7542 4365; Reuters Messaging: rebekah.curtis.reuters.com@reuters.net)


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Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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Investors were undeniably nervous heading into Nokia's third-quarter earnings release on Oct. 16. Against a global backdrop of volatile trading in stock markets, shares in the Finnish mobile-phone giant had lost nearly a third of their value in the past two months—outpacing a 24% decline for the S&P Europe 350 index over the same period.

Some of the blame fell on a Sept. 5 warning from Nokia (NOK) that it expected to lose market share and report lower profits (BusinessWeek.com, 9/5/08) for the quarter. But investors also worried that the ongoing global economic turmoil could pull the rug out from under Nokia's sales—a concern now facing the broader consumer electronics industry as it heads into the crucial holiday season (BusinessWeek.com, 10/16/08).

Yet when the third-quarter results finally were revealed, showing a 5% year-over-year decline in revenues and 30% drop in net income, investors were sufficiently gratified to drive up Nokia's New York-traded shares by nearly 10%. That such soft numbers provoked a relief rally indicates how pessimistic shareholders were. "The fact that guidance remained by and large unchanged gave some comfort to the market," says Richard Windsor, a London-based technology analyst with brokerage Nomura Securities.

Consumers Are Still Buying Handsets

It's not merely a matter of seeing the glass as half-full. Though revenues, at €12.24 billion ($16.48 billion) came in 3.9% shy of market expectations, earnings per share were spot on the mark, gross profit margins for handsets grew slightly, and operating margin was better than in the previous quarter. In other words, Nokia wasn't even close to a meltdown: In a tough market environment, the company managed to keep profitability on track despite a decline in volume.

More important, Nokia reassured the market that there's no wholesale collapse taking place in handset demand. Its own unit shipments in the quarter grew by 5%, even as revenues slipped, and executives repeated their prediction that the mobile-phone market as a whole will grow 10.5% this year, to 1.26 billion units. That implies 14% unit growth in the fourth quarter compared to the third—somewhat lower than historical norms, but still a huge vote of confidence in consumer spending at a time when many indicators are pointing downward. Nokia promises to maintain or grow its estimated 38% third-quarter market share in the last three months of the year.

To be sure, there are trouble spots. Sales in Europe—traditionally Nokia's stronghold, although China is now its largest single market—fell by a worrisome 5.5% vs. last year's third quarter. (Sales in the U.S. were even worse, down 16.7%, but that was due primarily to the company's exit from CDMA phones; units were flat vs. the second quarter.) "The financial crisis has affected U.S. and European markets," said Nokia Chief Executive Olli-Pekka Kallasvuo in an interview.

Cheaper Models Are Selling Better

At the same time, Kallasvuo noted, "many economies are still experiencing rapid GDP growth, even as we speak." The proof is in the numbers: Year-over-year unit sales growth in Latin America was 14.6%, while the Asia-Pacific region, excluding Greater China, grew 13.9% and the Middle East and Africa climbed 11.4%. These aren't piddling markets, either: The three regions together accounted for 56% of Nokia's total volume.

Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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FINANCIAL MARKET SUMMARY
Symbol Lookup: Companies & Funds
DJIAS&P 500NASDAQMarket Index Charts
DJIA 8,852.22  -127.04    NASDAQ 1,711.29  -6.42    SPX 940.55  -5.88    S  3.06 -0.27    LMT  90.75 -1.82    FNM  0.95 -0.04    DJIA 8,852.22  -127.04    NASDAQ 1,711.29  -6.42    SPX 940.55  -5.88    S  3.06 -0.27    LMT  90.75 -1.82    FNM  0.95 -0.04    
Personalize Ticker | Updated 4:00 PM, 10/17/2008 Disclaimer | © MarketWatch Inc.
Source: Interactive Data Corp

Wall Street fought against more negative economic news, including fewer new homes being built and further evidence of slumping consumer confidence, in a volatile trading session that saw the indexes see-saw between gains and losses.

After falling more than 200 points at the opening, the Dow Jones industrial average was up about 2.5 percent, or 223 points, at 1:30 p.m. The Standard & Poor's 500-stock index was up 3 percent and tech-heavy Nasdaq was up 2.8 percent. But by 3:30 p.m., all the indexes were flat.

It appears Wall Street is going to end the week with another volatile session. Yesterday the Dow surged in the last hour of trading, closing up 400 points, after falling more than 700 points on Wednesday and Tuesday and scoring a historic gain of more than 900 points on Monday.

Speaking before the markets opened, President Bush defended his response to the financial crisis and urged Americans to be patient and allow time for the government's market interventions to work. In its latest response to the crisis, the Treasury Department said this week it will make direct capital injections in major banks, and last week the Federal Reserve participated in a coordinated global interest rate cut.

"The federal government has responded to this crisis with systematic and aggressive measures to protect the financial security of the American people," Bush said in a speech at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce in Washington. "It took a while for the credit system to freeze up; it will take a while for the credit system to thaw."

A Commerce Department report today found that the housing downturn continues to intensify. New home construction fell sharply again in September and requests for new building permits fell to levels not seen since the recession of the early 1980s.

New home construction fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 817,000, a 6.3 percent decline from the month before and more than 31 percent below September of a year before. It is the lowest monthly rate for home starts since January 1991.

Permit requests fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 786,000, an 8.3 percent decline from August and more than 38 percent below the same month a year ago. Building permits are considered a barometer of future activity.

The drop in home construction is "a fairly precise illustration of the negative sentiment that has evolved among builders," said Joseph Brusuelas, chief U.S. economist at California-based Merk Investments. "Given the ongoing problems in the credit markets, the development community should brace itself for a number of months of record low activity and consolidation."

The housing data adds to the latest retail sales, durable goods, employment and industrial production reports, which all indicate that the economy took a sharp turn for the worse in September, said Patrick Newport, U.S. economist for Global Insight. Making matters worse, mortgage rates have jumped to 6.46 percent for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.

"These reports do not incorporate the effects of October's financial meltdown," Newport said.

Reflecting the turbulence, consumer confidence suffered its steepest monthly drop on record in October, according to a survey released today by Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. The confidence index fell to 57.5 in October from 70.3 in September, worse than economists' expectations.











Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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PHOTOS
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Share prices fell in every industry and for each of the 30 stocks in the Dow Jones industrial average, down 7.3 percent
Share prices fell in every industry and for each of the 30 stocks in the Dow Jones industrial average, down 7.3 percent (By Jin Lee -- Bloomberg News)


Washington Post Staff Writers
Friday, October 10, 2008; Page A01

Fear and foreboding took hold on Wall Street yesterday, as the stock market again plunged and investors became convinced that the nation is on the verge of a deep and prolonged recession. The rout continued in Japan, where stocks plummeted in early trading.


The government took steps toward an extraordinary public investment in U.S. banks and General Motors stock fell to its lowest price since 1950 on fears it will not be able to weather the downturn. Share prices fell across every industry and for each of the 30 stocks in the Dow Jones industrial average, which was down 679 points, or 7.3 percent, to 8579.19.

But the plummeting stock market could not be blamed on any single piece of horrible news -- there were no additional bank failures or government bailouts or corporate bankruptcies.

"I've never seen a panic like this," said David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor's. "I've seen stock market drops, but not an overall panic."

The broad Standard & Poor's 500 fell 7.6 percent, the seventh consecutive day of misery on Wall Street. The index has now fallen 42 percent from its all-time high one year ago yesterday and 22 percent this month alone. Stocks are on track for their worst calendar year since 1937.

Fear from Wall Street flooded into Asia on Friday, where markets were dramatically lower in early trading. Japan's benchmark Nikkei average plunged more than 10 percent, Australia markets slid more than 7 percent and South Korea stocks were down about 8 percent.

ear from Wall Street flooded into Asia on Friday, where markets were dramatically lower in early trading. Japan's benchmark Nikkei average plunged more than 10 percent, Australia markets slid more than 7 percent and South Korea stocks were down about 8 percent.






Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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FINANCIAL MARKET SUMMARY
Symbol Lookup: Companies & Funds
DJIAS&P 500NASDAQMarket Index Charts
DJIA 10,831.07  -19.59    NASDAQ 2,069.40  -22.48    SPX 1,161.06  -3.68    S  6.54 +0.44    LMT  108.85 -0.82    FNM  1.66 +0.13    DJIA 10,831.07  -19.59    NASDAQ 2,069.40  -22.48    SPX 1,161.06  -3.68    S  6.54 +0.44    LMT  108.85 -0.82    FNM  1.66 +0.13    
Personalize Ticker | Updated 4:02 PM, 10/1/2008 Disclaimer | © MarketWatch Inc.
Source: Interactive Data Corp
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, October 1, 2008; 5:26 PM

The U.S. finanical crisis last month appears to have led to a major pullback by investors who withdrew billions of dollars from equity mutual funds and bonds, according to an analysis released today by a financial research firm.

During September, investors pulled $22 billion from U.S. equity mutual funds, compared with $2 billion in August, according to the data from TrimTabs Investment Research, which publishes detailed coverage of U.S. stock market liquidity. At the same time $24 billion was also withdrawn from bonds during September, the largest extraction in a single-month.

"Usually when people leave equities they go to bonds, this time they are leaving bonds as well. Because of the credit problems, they are worried about defaults on bonds, everybody is going to the safest forms of cash they can find," said Conrad Gann, president and chief operating officer of TrimTabs. "People are scared they don't want risky investments, there is risk aversion -- everybody is averting risk in all of its forms, credit or equity."

Such apprehension appeared to be playing out today on Wall Street where the markets stalled as investors kept an eye on Washington to see if Congress would be able to pass the $700 billion financial rescue plan. 

Investors are hopeful that the plan, which the House defeated Monday, will pass the Senate tonight. But many remain wary about whether it has enough support to pass the House on a second try, analysts said.

The Dow Jones industrial average, which fell as much as 200 points early in the day, closed down nearly 20 points while the technology heavy Nasdaq lost more than 22 points and the broader Standard & Poor's 500 stock index fell nearly 4 points.

U.S. stocks, which recorded historic sell-off Monday after the House action, soared yesterday as investors regained confidence that some form of the bailout package would gain approval. Some analysts said today's lackluster trading might be a result of investors taking their profits from yesterday.

"US equity markets clawed back in the afternoon and recouped most of the early losses, but remain vulnerable to the bailout news stream," a Brown Brothers Harriman research note concluded today.

"People were taken by surprise the last time when the House didn't pass" the financial rescue plan, said Bill Stone, chief investment strategist for PNC Wealth Management. "You can say, once bitten, twice shy."

The legislation is considered central to keeping credit markets flowing as banks remain reluctant to loan money to each other. It would allow the government to buy the toxic mortgage assets weighing down financial firms balance sheets. But opponents have balked at the price and called it a bailout of the Wall Street firms that caused the current turmoil.

The Senate version is expected to include a provision allowing the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to raise the government's guarantee of bank deposits beyond the current limit of $100,000 on each standard account. Advocates of that effort, including both presidential candidates, say it will provide bank depositors with a better sense of security.

Wall Street may be buoyed today by a move by securities regulators and accounting rule-makers to allow banks greater power to decide the value of their investments, even if market data suggest that prices should be lower. That could allow some banks to report smaller losses.

Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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