'Sink'에 해당되는 글 2건

  1. 2008.12.20 Japan Sink Rate by CEOinIRVINE
  2. 2008.10.07 Dow Sinks Below 10,000 as Stocks Plunge Globally by CEOinIRVINE

Japan Sink Rate

Business 2008. 12. 20. 03:31

Japan's central bank concluded Friday that near-zero interest rates would not be enough to stimulate lending and has taken the extra step of buying corporate debt as well. But the measures are unlikely to bring the yen down from decade highs, a problem which continues to batter Japanese exporters. The central bank also made clear that for all its pro-activeness, Western economies would need to improve to brighten Japan's fortunes.

Following in the footsteps of the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan cut its key overnight lending rate to 0.1%, from 0.3%, in a 7-1 board vote. It also said it would temporarily buy commercial paper, or short-term corporate bonds, but did not specify how big the program would be or how long it would last.

The additional measures "were necessary for the effects of extremely low policy interest rates to prevail in financial markets and corporate financing," the Bank of Japan said in a statement.

Though the scale of the program is unclear, buying corporate debt "is quite significant because it's the most aggressive we've seen from the Bank of Japan in terms of readiness to take riskier assets," said Tokyo-based Macquarie economist Richard Jerram. Japanese companies are not as strapped for funds as those in the U.S. but the commercial paper market has struggled in the last two months, and any measures to boost liquidity are welcome, he added.

The government will also buy up to 20.0 trillion yen ($223.7 billion) in shares from banks, which have suffered heavy portfolio losses as the Japanese stock market has lost over 40.0% this year. The program is intended to ease banks' sensitivity to the stock market.

But for all these measures, the health of Japan's economy next year depends on Western economies, whose recessions have battered exports and made overseas lending tight. "Uncertainty in the outlook for the economy to return to a sustainable growth path with price stability has increased," the central bank's statement read. "Much depends on financial conditions in the United States and Europe as well as developments in overseas economies."

It is unlikely that Friday's measures will be enough to keep down the yen, whose 25.0% surge this year to a 13-year high against the dollar has eroded companies' overseas earnings. After the Fed cut rates to 0.25% this week, the yen had been a higher-yielding currency than the dollar because Japan's key rate of 0.3% had been higher than the Fed's benchmark rate for the first time in nearly 15 years.

Though the dollar's plunge below the psychologically significant 90-yen level "has provoked speculation that FX intervention is imminent," "we do not expect a return to the 2001-04 policy of rapid reserve accumulation in order to resist yen appreciation," Merrill Lynch currency strategist Daniel Tenengauzer wrote in a Friday research note. He predicted that the yen would retain its strength over the next six months and then start weakening in late 2009, as an unwinding of the carry trade faded.

The central bank said Friday that it would also increase monthly purchases of government bonds, to 1.4 trillion yen ($15.6 billion), from 1.2 trillion yen ($13.5 billion), in the first increase since 2002.

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Markets in Asia and Europe dropped between 4 and 6 percent on new concerns about the health of the European banking system and the likelihood of a global recession. (Photos: Reuters)

  Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, October 6, 2008; 1:45 PM

U.S. stocks plummeted in morning trading today as investors began to fear that a bailout of the financial sector would not be enough to prevent a global recession and Europe continued to grapple with a stabilization of its banking sector.

The Dow Jones industrial average lost as much 584 points today, falling below 10,000 for the first time since October 2004 before recovering some ground. It is trading off more than 5 percent, or 527 points just before 1 p.m. The technology-heavy Nasdaq fell more than 6 percent, or 120 points, and broader Standard & Poor's 500 stock index fell 5.7 percent, or 62 points.

Investors are being led by fear, analysts said. The $700 billion financial bailout plan enacted by the federal government last week has yet to loosen the credit markets and banks remain reluctant to lend to each other. The price of gold has skyrocketed as investors seek a safe haven. Oil fell below $90 a barrel today for the first time in months. Overseas, banks are increasingly facing problems of their own.

The day started with a negative momentum that has turned into a global panic, said Art Hogan, chief market analyst at Jefferies & Company. "It is just a realization that the global economy is going to be stagnate for the next 12 to 16 months" even with the rescue plan, Hogan said.

European officials are scrambling to bolster financial firms and Asian investors have grown worried that a global recession will undercut their export-dependent economies. In Europe, which has been forced to prop up several banks in recent weeks, some officials have begun to wonder whether the region needed its own comprehensive rescue package.

European governments have moved to convince depositors and investors that the banking system was safe. Germany, Denmark, Sweden and Austria expanded guarantees for private bank accounts, while other steps were taken to help ailing companies.

Overseas markets were down significantly today. London's FTSE 100 and Germany's DAX 30 closed down 7.9 percent and 7 percent, respectively, while Paris's CAC 40 lost 9 percent of its value. The Nikkei closed down 4 percent.

"There is a great amount of concern around the world about the global financial system," White House spokesman Scott M. Stanzel told reporters while Bush attended a GOP fundraiser hosted by a San Antonio realtor. "The president thinks the plan that was approved by Congress last week and that he signed into law is the right one to deal with the specific problem of getting the credit market moving again."

The price of oil fell as low as $88.89 a barrel in morning trading today, off its peak of $147 a barrel in July. The price of gold jumped $35 an ounce as investors sought a safe haven from the market turmoil.

"People realize that the [bailout] is not going to prevent a more serious economic downturn in the United States, including a couple of quarters of negative economic growth," said Marc Chandler, head of currency trading at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. "The banking crisis spreading to Europe is another negative. It means the crisis is getting bigger."

Wall Street now expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again, perhaps before its next scheduled meeting. "Credit markets have not responded to the appearance of a government bailout. The distress in the credit markets continue and in some cases has intensified," said Joseph Brusuelas, chief U.S. economist at California-based Merk Investments.

The Federal Reserve announced steps this morning to begin paying interest on the reserves that banks must keep with it -- a step meant to encourage banks to keep more funds on hand with the Fed, and in turn give the Fed more leeway in putting cash back into the banking system. At the same time, the Fed said that over the next two months it would double, to $900 billion, the short-term loans it would make available to financial institutions.

Today, Citigroup filed a $60 billion lawsuit against Wells Fargo and Wachovia with the Supreme Court of the State of New York, charging that Wachovia violated an agreement with Citigroup when it agreed to be acquired by Wells Fargo, and that Wells Fargo knowingly interfered with that agreement.

On Friday, Wachovia agreed to bought by Wells Fargo, spurning a previous deal with Citigroup. The Federal Reserve has stepped in to try to broker a deal. One possibility that has emerged is that Wachovia could be split between Citigroup and Wells Fargo to avoid a prolonged fight.

The acquisition of Wachovia continues the reshuffling of the financial sector, which already includes the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers and acquisitions of Merrill Lynch and Washington Mutual. Competition for Wachovia's assets has cheered some investors, showing that the bank retains value despite being weighed down with risky mortgage loans.

Wells Fargo was down 2 percent in noon-time trading, while Citigroup fell about 8 percent.

In corporate news, Countrywide has agreed to set aside $8.4 billion to modify the loans of troubled borrowers under a settlement agreement with Iowa and other states. Countrywide was acquired by Bank of America earlier this year. Bank of America was down 6 percent in afternoon trading.

In other corporate news, facing increasing competition from other online retailers and waning enthusiasm, eBay said today it will cut about 1,000 jobs, or 10 percent, of its workforce. The company's shares were down 7 percent in morning trading.




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