'Slow'에 해당되는 글 2건

  1. 2008.12.18 Slovakia: Fastest-Growing E.U. Economy Slowing Down by CEOinIRVINE
  2. 2008.11.12 Unemployment: How to Slow the Bleeding by CEOinIRVINE

Despite an investment boom, GDP growth is hurt by falling E.U. demand for the nation's exports.

Economic reforms and European Union membership have generated an investment boom in Slovakia's manufacturing, construction and service sectors. Gross domestic product growth peaked at 10.4% in 2007 as new automobile and electronic plants started full-scale production.

However, Slovakia's performance is tied closely to E.U. demand for its exports, and the slowdown in E.U. growth is starting to be felt in Slovakia. The Statistical Office reported GDP growth in the third quarter slowing to 7% year-on-year after 9.3% and 7.6% in the first and second quarters, respectively. The government estimates that the economy will grow by 4.7% in 2009, with export growth slowing from 10% in 2008 to 5.9%. Recent data do not yet fully reflect the impact of the crisis, and some fear that growth could slow below 4%.



Anti-crisis package. Prime Minister Robert Fico argues that higher domestic consumption will help Slovakia get through the crisis and perhaps reverse disturbing trends in employment. Accordingly, the government has drafted a package of new economic measures to stimulate demand. These include completing a nuclear power station on the Bohunice site and using public-private partnerships to build new roads and expand Bratislava's Stefanik airport. The government also seeks to reform the labor market and provide loans to small and medium-sized enterprises.

Euro perspective. Meanwhile, Standard & Poor's 500 and Moody's have upgraded Slovakia's sovereign rating from A to A+. They cite Slovakia's modest debt burden, investment-oriented policies and the switch to the euro in January 2009.

Critics have argued that Slovakia is needlessly surrendering control over monetary policy and setting itself up for high inflation due to the switch-over. However, the timing for euro adoption now looks fortunate:

--The drive for the euro has meant long-term fiscal frugality and restrained the spending desires of Slovakia's left-leaning government.

--Slovakia's relatively low fiscal deficit of 2.25% of GDP in 2008 has reduced its need to borrow during the global financial crisis.


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Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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In crafting a spending plan, federal officials must choose between measures that give a fast lift to the economy and those that create sustainable new jobs

http://images.businessweek.com/story/08/600/1111_jobs.jpg

Spending on infrastructure projects figures to be part of any economic stimulus package Congress considers. Chris Hondros/Getty Images



It's now become apparent that the most painful part of the economic downturn—the part where many thousands of people lose their jobs—is picking up speed. On Friday, Nov. 7, the Labor Dept. announced that this year through October the U.S. economy lost 1.2 million jobs. That brought the unemployment rate to 6.5%—its highest level since 1994. Add to that a stream of recent layoff announcements (BusinessWeek.com, 10/20/08) by the likes of Merck (MRK), General Electric (GE), and Yahoo (YHOO). Just this week, DHL (DPWGN.DE) announced it would cut 9,500 jobs as it pulled out of express package delivery in the U.S.

In his press conference on Nov. 7, President-elect Barack Obama said that passing an economic stimulus plan would be his first priority as President. "The American people need help," said Obama. "This economy is in bad shape." A stimulus package of very large government spending projects is almost certain, if not in the lame-duck congressional session beginning Nov. 17, then immediately after Obama takes office on Jan. 20.

Some of the likely congressional actions will address the immediate needs of those who are without work. It is likely to enact a package that includes extending the period in which the unemployed can draw benefits, from 26 weeks to up to 39 weeks.

Heavy Dose of Job Creation

But beyond that, there are conflicting views on which spending is the most likely to create jobs, how soon, and for whom.

Taxpayer money can be used in several ways to aid the job market—directly, by creating jobs or investing in companies that will hire people to build things; and indirectly, putting cash in people's pockets in hopes that they spend it and maintain jobs down the line. Many Republicans argue that the government is better off cutting taxes; the party has put forward ideas like doubling the child tax credit and temporarily scrapping the capital-gains tax.

But with an incoming Democratic Administration and Democrat-dominated Congress, an economic stimulus bill will likely have a heavy dose of job creation and increased benefits for the jobless.

Focus on Infrastructure and Energy

On the campaign trail, Obama proposed creating jobs in two main areas: infrastructure and energy. For infrastructure, he suggested the U.S. create a National Infrastructure Reinvestment Bank, an independent entity that would receive $60 billion over 10 years from the federal government to finance transportation infrastructure projects. He said this plan would create up to 2 million new direct and indirect jobs and stimulate approximately $35 billion per year in new economic activity.

In October, U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) unveiled a $150 billion stimulus plan that includes infrastructure spending and federal support to states governments, which Obama backed. The U.S. House had passed a stimulus bill in September with $18.5 billion for infrastructure projects, but Republicans opposed it.

The Bush Administration's Transportation Dept. has criticized such proposals, saying that building or rebuilding highways, bridges, and train systems requires a long series of steps to plan, design, get environmental clearance, and construct. Jack Wells, the department's economist, says that only 27% of the funds being proposed in the Pelosi package would be disbursed within a year.

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