According to the most recent data, as many as one in 10 mortgages in the U.S. are delinquent or in foreclosure. The continued decline in housing prices has been exacerbated by the decline in the economy. The housing sector is caught in a continued downward spiral.

Foreclosure is a slow and costly process and represents significant dead weight loss for the economy. Estimates are that the cost of foreclosure is 30% to 35% of the value of a house. Moreover, there are externalities that are associated with properties that do foreclose in that they contaminate the value of neighboring properties. This issue is also critical because reducing losses to default and foreclosure will help stabilize the financial system by reducing the actual losses--and the uncertainty about them--that are passed through the financial system to the holders of the mortgages and mortgage-backed securities. Default losses are concentrated in the "first loss" and mezzanine tranches of collateralized debt obligations, which has made them highly toxic to the financial institutions holding them.

Here is the question: Given the attention that has been devoted to the problem of troubled mortgages and the number of programs that have been put forward to address them, why so little impact? The simple answer is that the programs are badly designed.

Some examples: Hope for Homeowners is a Federal Housing Administration program designed to modify existing loans by writing down the principal, offering insurance against further default and introducing shared appreciation on the property. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac laid out plans for restructuring mortgages that lower payments but extend the term on the loan or involve balloon payments. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has proposed to restructure troubled mortgages by lowering payments, but with no write-down of principal and with a balloon payment due at the end. So far, the response to these programs has been minor. Why?

First, they start with lousy incentives. Both Hope for Homeowners and the FDIC programs are available to homeowners who are delinquent by several months in their payments. If you want to restructure your mortgage, what does this tell you? Stop making payments! Sensibly, most bank restructuring programs require borrowers to show good faith by keeping payments current before they will consider restructuring.

Another problem is that restructuring per se is not a great solution. For the most part, it simply kicks the can down the road. Lowering current payments but requiring either a balloon payment or an extended payback term postpones the problem without solving it. Moreover, since it does nothing to address the negative equity of the homeowner, it increases the probability of secondary default if prices or owners' incomes continue to fall. For all of these reasons, owners become essentially like renters, with all of the adverse incentives that may imply.

The existing approaches to loan modification do not balance the incentives of the borrowers and the lenders. Shared-appreciation mortgages (which are a component of the FHA plan) do this well. Shared-appreciation restructurings offer a debt for equity swap whereby, in return for modifying the loan, the borrower must give up some of the future appreciation in the value of the property. Designed properly, this would discourage borrowers from seeking modifications if they can continue to pay their mortgage.

A new laptop designed by Nigerian artist Joseph Amédokpo

Hanging on a wall at Dell's (DELL) consumer design lab in Austin, Tex., are neat rows of what look like abstract paintings. There's a splashy watercolor in turquoise, black, and green, and a mosaic pattern of white and red dots and geometric shapes. Another is covered with hand-drawn sketches of olives in green, purple, and orange. These aren't works of art, though. They're dozens of prototypes for future laptops. Look closely and you see the Dell logo on each one.

The man behind this effort is Ed Boyd, one of Dell's most unusual hires in recent years. Boyd is an industrial designer who used to dream up new sunglasses and shoes for Nike (NKE). Now the 43-year-old is trying to make design an integral part of Dell, the personal computer maker long known for cranking out boring gray boxes. "I was skeptical it could be cool," says Boyd, who joined the company last year. "I took the job when I heard the design lab would function like a startup for consumer [products]."

LET THE BUYER DESIGN

Dell plans to roll out the first three laptops with these colorful designs on Nov. 11, in time for the holiday season. Customers will pay an extra $75 for the designs, on top of the basic $699 price tag for the company's budget-line portables. The designs are from Nigerian painter Joseph Amédokpo, South African graphic artist Siobhan Gunning, and Canadian designer Bruce Mau.

For Boyd, this is just a start, though. Next year, Dell will let buyers customize laptops in a dizzying number of ways, mixing scores of colors, patterns, and textures. The options will go far beyond the handful of choices available from most of its rivals. In essence, Boyd is taking the Nike approach of letting people design their own sneakers, and trying to apply it to the world of computers. "We're pushing the idea of [made-to-order computers] to the next level," says Boyd.

Dell could certainly use a change in fortune. The once-mighty PC maker has stumbled in recent years: Its stock is off by more than 60% since 2005. Even after founder Michael S. Dell returned as chief executive in 2007, the company continued to lose ground to Apple (AAPL) and the resurgent Hewlett-Packard (HPQ). "We had higher expectations for Dell's turnaround by now," says Clay Sumner, senior analyst at FBR Research (FBR). Dell's market capitalization is now $24 billion, compared with $93 billion for Apple and HP's $87 billion. The net cash on Apple's balance sheet is about the same as Dell's market cap.

Michael Dell contends that the company is making progress. He says Boyd's efforts have helped Dell get back on track, particularly with consumers. "We've got the most exciting new products ever from Dell coming in the second half of this year," Dell said during a speech in June. "That's fundamentally what brings new customers in."

RISKS AND REWARDS

Still, Dell's timing is awful. With the economy headed into recession and consumers cutting back, it will be difficult to charge any sort of premium for cool design. Analysts say that's especially true for companies such as Dell that don't have an established reputation for design. "Price will be more important for consumers because of the economic deterioration," says Mika Kitagawa, an analyst with the market research firm Gartner (IT).

Boyd is used to taking risks. Last year he hired an obscure graffiti artist named Mike Ming to create images for Dell products, a move that worried some of Dell's straitlaced staff.

PARIS, October 2, 2008

By Nicole Phelps

Ivana Omazic had the thankless job of going through with a collection after it was publicly announced that Phoebe Philo would be replacing her at Celine later this month. Like her LVMH stablemate, John Galliano at Dior, Omazic said tribal traditions were her starting point, and like him she didn't take the idea too literally. There were Polynesian-tattoo prints on silk organza dresses, "scarified" supple leather pants, and Masai beading on skirts. She touched on other trends, too, including transparency. The rest (from the hand-painted crinkled-voile wrap dresses to the jersey separates to a couple of suits) looked like it could've come from a tribe called BoBo…as in "bourgeois bohemian." You can call it commercial, but you can't fault her for that—not when retailers are cracking jokes like, "I have big news: We sold a dress!" Yes, there were some missteps, starting with an overly conceptual wedge shoe that was missing an instep, but Omazic deserves credit for making the most of her unpleasant situation.