'find'에 해당되는 글 3건

  1. 2008.12.20 The Executive Recruitment Trap by CEOinIRVINE
  2. 2008.12.19 Markets Teeter-Totter At Midday by CEOinIRVINE
  3. 2008.11.29 OPEC struggles to find balance in oil market by CEOinIRVINE

A new Forbes study finds that companies that hire their own CEOs perform better than ones that use executive recruiters.

By the end of November, more chief executives had lost their jobs or left them this year than during all of 2007, when 1,356 exited, according to the outplacement consultancy Challenger, Gray & Christmas.

That churn is very good for job recruiting firms, more popularly known as headhunters. Revenue for search firms worldwide was expected to grow by 8.7% in 2008 to $11.6 billion, according to the Association of Executive Search Consultants.

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When it comes to finding chief executive officers, are headhunters worth all that money? The going rate to recruit a chief executive is typically a flat $1 million, which is about one-third of that CEO's first-year cash compensation. Do corporations get bang for those bucks in their stock price? Or do they do better when they perform the search themselves?

We measured the stock performance of 117 large companies that hired a chief executive during the past 10 years from outside their organization with the help of one the big four recruiters--Heidrick & Struggles, Korn/Ferry International, Russell Reynolds Associates and Spencer Stuart. We weighed them against the performance of 23 companies that did their own searches.

The upshot: Companies that hired a chief executive on their own fared better than companies that used headhunters. Corporate boards that trusted their own guts saw their company's stock realize a return 34% higher than the S&P 500 one year after their chief executive's date of hire (see table below). Only Korn/Ferry's searches matched that success over the same period. (We also measured other time periods, to prevent the data from being skewed by anomalies in company or stock market performance, or by news of a chief's departure.)

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Wall Street struggled to find direction Thursday morning as mixed reports from the economy and the corporate sector had the market wobbling.

With the holiday week fast-approaching, volumes were light and investors appeared to shy away from aggressive moves in the equity markets, but there was plenty of action in commodities, currencies and government debt.

The Labor Department kicked off the day, reporting that initial jobless claims inched down to 554,000 last week, from 575,000 the week before. Meanwhile, continuing claims edged back below 4.4 million. The decline was positive news, but the hits keep coming; health insurance outfit Aetna (nyse: AET - news - people ) said it will cut its workforce by 1,000 jobs. (See "December 2008 Layoffs.")

A closely-watched reading on manufacturing activity was not as bad as feared; the Philadelphia Fed index came in at negative 32.9 for December. The figure indicates regional activity in the sector slowed less than expected, following a negative 39.3 reading in November.

Major indexes were little changed by midday, as the Dow was down 10 points, or 0.1%, to 8,814; the S&P 500 was up 2 points, or 0.3%, to 907; and the Nasdaq gained 3 points, or 0.2%, to 1,582. There was more action in other markets during the seesaw session though.

Traders scoffed at Wednesday's production cut of 2.2 million barrels of oil a day by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, sending crude down $1.98, to $38.08 a barrel. United States Oil Fund (nyse: USO - news - people ), an exchange-traded vehicle that seeks to mirror the movement of crude and other products, lost $1.64, or 4.7%, to $33.17. (See "Russia Dashes OPEC's Hopes.")

Treasury yields and the dollar continued to soften, after the Federal Reserve slashed its benchmark fed funds rate effectively to zero on Tuesday. The 10-year note's yield was down to 2.10%, from 2.20% Wednesday. The iShares Lehman 10-20 Year Treasury Bond Fund (nyse: TLH - news - people ), which tracks longer maturities, was up $1.92, or 1.6%, to $123.80. The euro sustained recent strength early, trading over $1.44 Thursday morning, but shed its gain and fell back to $1.429 by midday. (See "Helicopter Ben Goes ZIRP!")

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OPEC oil ministers on Friday downplayed expectations of, but didn't dismiss outright, an immediate output cut as they faced a third test in as many months of their ability to engineer a rebound in oil prices.

The outcome of the hastily convened Cairo meeting Saturday, billed as a consultative gathering to assess the impact of earlier production cuts, likely hinges on a key issue with which the cartel has had a checkered past: unity.

Kuwaiti oil minister Mohammed Al-Aleem told reporters in Cairo that while the market was oversupplied, he believed there was "no need" for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to decide on cuts ahead of its regularly scheduled Dec. 17 meeting in Algeria.

But Rafael Ramirez, oil minister for price hawk Venezuela, later said the option remained to cut production by "at least 1 million barrels" at the weekend gathering. "Maybe it's necessary, a new cut," Ramirez said. He quickly added, thought, that such a decision could be taken now or next month.

The diverging takes highlighted the difficulty of the task facing producers of almost 40 percent of the world's oil.

"There is total confusion" among OPEC's 13 members, said Fadel Gheit, managing director of oil and gas research at Oppenheimer & Co. in New York. "These people ... really have no business model. They basically thrive when oil prices go up, and now they are crying uncle when prices go down."

And, down they have gone, in a financial avalanche triggered by demand destruction, itself sped along by a world financial meltdown that also threatens to cut deeply into OPEC member states' government budgets.

Whereas crude stood at about $147 a barrel in mid-July, it now hovers about $90 lower. On Friday, the U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude for January delivery was trading at down about $3 per barrel at about $51.

"They (OPEC) simply don't react quick enough, and prices keep going down," said Vincent Lauerman, OPEC expert and president of Calgary, Canada-based consultancy Geopolitics Central.

This meeting will come down to what kingpin and traditional price dove Saudi Arabia wants, he said.

Saudi oil minister Ali al-Naimi told reporters answers would come on Saturday.

The cartel has already held one emergency meeting - on Oct. 24 in Vienna - to try to halt the slide in prices with an announcement of a 1.5 million barrel per day drop.

It failed to support prices, and the cartel cobbled together the Cairo gathering on the sidelines of the Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries' meeting.

But members have been circumspect about expectations, leading some to speculate OPEC is staying quiet to maintain the element of surprise.

"As long as they do a substantive cut, they may be getting ahead of the curve, and should be cutting enough to get ahead of demand destruction," said Lauerman, citing about 1 to 1.2 million as the magic number.

That has been the figure most readily cited by those nations proposing cuts, including Venezuela which, like fellow price hawk Iran, need crude of about $90 per barrel to meet current spending needs aimed in part at propping up its domestically unpopular regime.

The two have found support from non-OPEC oil giant, Russia. Its president, Dmitry Medvedev, said Thursday his country would cooperate with the group to support prices.

Other OPEC members, such as Nigeria and Ecuador, face budget problems too, making them reluctant to implement more cuts that might shrink revenues further.

Nigerian envoy, Odein Ajumogobia, said the ministers were "just going to exchange ideas and views" at the gathering.

Kuwait's al-Aleem said current low prices benefit neither consumers nor producers and could undercut investments in future projects - a scenario that could lead to another spike down the road.

"We think a decision could be taken, but I think it will happen in Algeria," he said.

OPEC's last round of cuts would put its total production at about 30.5 million barrels per day, according to the IEA.

Unlike many of their fellow members, the Saudis are better positioned to cope with the drop in prices. The International Monetary Fund estimates Riyadh needs crude in the range of about $50 per barrel for 2008 fiscal accounts to break even.

While al-Naimi refused to tip his hand, an indication of the Saudi thinking may have emerged earlier this month when, during the Group of 20 meeting in Washington, King Abdullah pledged the kingdom would do everything in its power to help the global economy recover.

Higher oil prices would undermine that promise.

Also unclear, after two earlier cuts failed to push prices higher, is what the group can do without prolonging the global economic downturn.

"I would play 'good cop' and not do anything," said Oppenheimer's Gheit. "If they are patient, they will be rewarded because you will see a precipitous drop in capital spending, and that will tighten the market, in itself."

But demand has shown little indication of rebounding soon, and global crude stockpiles are growing - as evidenced by a U.S. government report showing a surprisingly large 7 million barrel build in stocks last week.

Those factors argue against restraint if some in OPEC want crude back up to at least $70.

Even so, Algerian oil minister and OPEC president Chakib Khelil has urged a wait-and-see approach, saying that the group risks losing credibility if it enacts new cuts in Cairo only to find members were not complying with the Vienna decision.

Political considerations are also likely to factor prominently.

Saudi Arabia is a close U.S. ally in the Middle East, and is eager to see concerted Washington backing for peace efforts in the region.

One way of winning new support from the incoming administration of U.S. President-elect Barack Obama would be by tacitly working to undercut two of Washington's most strident foes, Venezuela and Iran. It would not be an onerous job for the Sunni Muslim Saudis, who have no great affection for Shiite Iran.

"Saudi Arabia is playing ball with the U.S.," said Gheit. "It is going to punish Venezuela. It is going to punish Russia. It is also going to curtail Iran."

AP Business Writer Adam Schreck contributed to this report.

Copyright 2008 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed

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