'Problems'에 해당되는 글 2건

  1. 2009.03.24 How E-Books Make (A Lot) Of Cents by CEOinIRVINE
  2. 2008.10.20 Financial Rescues Can Set Off New Problems by CEOinIRVINE

 

Andrew Savikas, 03.23.09, 06:00 AM EDT

O'Reilly talks about the lessons learned by its foray into e-book publishing.


 

Many people, both inside and outside of the publishing and media industry, are skeptical about the potential of paid content on mobile phones, especially given the troubled history of e-books. I beg to differ. In December 2008, O'Reilly's "iPhone: The Missing Manual" was published as an iPhone app. Since its release, the app has outsold the printed book, which is a best seller in its own right. We're learning a lot from the experience. Here our some of the questions that we're starting to answer.

Was the iPhone app for the "Missing Manual" an anomaly? After all, iPhone owners are the most likely audience for the "Manual."




O'Reilly: Conventional wisdom suggests that when choosing pilot projects, you pick ones with a high likelihood of success. This was a best-selling author on a red-hot topic. We're gearing up to release about 20 more books as iPhone apps, but realistically we don't expect any of those to sell as well as this first one.

Is the iPhone the most convenient place to get content about problems you're trying to solve on a computer?

For many of our readers, a first or second pass through one of our programming books is mainly about orienting to the landscape and getting a sense of the platform and what's possible, not about solving a particular problem at hand. The iPhone is a perfectly suitable environment for that kind of reading.

Won't you make less money selling iPhone apps than books? The computer book market is the computer book market, period. It has a certain size, and that's it. If you convert that market into iPhone app buyers instead of book buyers, say good-bye to your publishing business.

It would be economically bad news to sell a $5 product to someone who would otherwise pay $50. But it's good to sell a $5 product to someone who would not otherwise be a customer (provided, of course, that the marginal revenue exceeds marginal cost). For Safari Books Online, for direct sales of our e-books and now for this (single) iPhone app, the data suggests that they have created growth without sacrificing print market share. For example, our market share for printed computer books sold at retail was 14% in 2004, and is now 16%. According to Nielsen Bookscan data, the print version of iPhone: The Missing Manual has sold nearly as many copies as the next two competing titles combined in the time period since the app version went on sale in December.

This data only goes back to mid-January, but the 90-, 30- and seven-day averages on Amazon sales rank for the printed book have been steadily improving, suggesting that sales of the iPhone app version are not cannibalizing print sales--and may even be helping them.

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If there was one thing policymakers could agree on during the recent economic turbulence, it was that interest rates on U.S. home mortgages ought to come down, and fast. But as the government stepped in recently to shore up the nation's banks, those rates went up.

Chalk up another case of unintended consequences.

Since the beginning of the crisis that has upended financial markets and stunned the world economy, the well-intentioned actions of governments and officials have often created new problems that require nearly equally urgent solutions.

The complexity and linkages in the world financial system are to blame.

"Every action the government takes has cascading effects on the market, and they're not always easy to predict," said Jim Vogel, an analyst at FTN Financial. "The government has to have time to catch up."

When authorities in Ireland and Greece guaranteed deposits, banks across the rest of Europe feared a stampede out of their own countries, forcing many governments to take the same precaution. The race to guarantee deposits spread as far as Hong Kong and Singapore, where banks are considered relatively stable.


When the U.S. Treasury announced it was guaranteeing money market accounts, it fanned fears of a run on bank accounts.

And by not protecting preferred stockholders when the government seized mortgage-finance firms Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, it sunk investor confidence in preferred shares in other financial institutions, too, making it harder for them to raise money that way.

"It's like a chess game," said William Poole, who was president and chief executive of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis from 1998 to this March. "You might be able to anticipate the next couple of moves. But after that, it gets very complicated, very quickly."

Virtually every emergency measure over the past few weeks has had secondary and sometimes unpredicted effects, according to economists, and this is one of the key dangers in the weeks ahead, as the government issues more short-term loans to corporations, buys toxic securities and invests in banks.

One of the first examples of unintended consequences came as Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy protection. The bank's fall spurred investors to pull out of money-market mutual funds, many of which were tied to Lehman debt. Fearing a run on money-market funds, the Treasury on Sept. 19 announced it would guarantee these funds.

That made money-market investors feel better. But in turn, it led community bankers to erupt in protest as they saw investors pulling out of their bank accounts to invest in money-market funds -- which always paid more and now were just as safe.



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