'decline'에 해당되는 글 3건

  1. 2008.11.30 Home Prices in Record Decline by CEOinIRVINE
  2. 2008.11.27 Diagnoses Of Cancer Decline in The U.S. by CEOinIRVINE
  3. 2008.11.27 New Data Show Continuing Decline in U.S. Spending by CEOinIRVINE

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The home price plunge stayed on a record pace this summer, according to a widely watched gauge of national real estate markets released Tuesday.

The S&P Case-Shiller Home Price national index recorded a 16.6% decline in the third quarter compared with the same period a year ago. That eclipsed the previous record of 15.1% set during the second quarter.

Prices in Case-Shiller's separate index of 10 major cities fell a record 18.6%, while its 20-city index dropped a record 17.4%.

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With foreclosures soaring at record rates, the economic picture dimming and job losses ramping up, all the elements were in place to push prices lower.

"The turmoil in the financial markets is placing further downward pressure on a housing market already weakened by its own fundamentals." said David Blitzer, Standard & Poor's spokesman for the indexes, in a press release. "All three aggregate indices and 13 of the 20 metro areas are reporting new record rates of decline. . . . Prices are back to where they were in early 2004."

The 10-city index is now 23.4% off its peak price, which came in June 2006; the 20-city index is down 21.8% from its July 2006 high and the national index has fallen 21% since the third quarter of 2006.

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Home prices in the 10-city index have fallen for 26 consecutive months. The decline has broadened over the past 12 months, with prices dropping in every city of the 20-city index during September.

In the weakest market, Phoenix, the 12-month loss came to 31.9%. Las Vegas prices plummeted 31.3% and San Francisco recorded a 29.5% decline. The best performing markets, Dallas and Charlotte, N.C., still posted drops - 2.7% in Dallas and 3.5% in Charlotte.

With San Francisco and Las Vegas, the other members of the 10-city index are: Miami, down 28.4% year-over-year; Los Angeles, down 27.6%; San Diego, down 26.3%; Washington, down 17%; Chicago, down 10.1%; New York, down 7.3%; Boston, down 5.7%; and Denver, down 5.4%.

In addition to Phoenix, Dallas, Charlotte and the cities in the 10-city index, the 20-city index is made up of: Detroit, down 18.6%; Tampa, Fla., down 18.5%; Minneapolis, down 14%; Seattle, down 9.8%; Atlanta, down 9.5%; Portland, Ore., down 8.6%; and Cleveland, down 6.4%.

Foreclosures continue to take a heavy toll, with sales in some cities dominated by properties repossessed by banks and then put back on the market, often at bargain prices. In Las Vegas and Cleveland, for example, about half of all homes for sale are bank-owned properties, according to the real estate Web site, Trulia.com.

"Foreclosures are clearly a part of the market now," said Blitzer.

He added that the national index price trends tend to be more moderate because they encompass many more exurban and rural areas, where, in many cases, home prices never skyrocketed as they did in some of the hotter, urban markets.

Karl Case, the Wellesley economics professor who is the Case in Case-Shiller, said during a news conference about the latest index report that he would hesitate to put a number on how much further prices could fall, but the increasing job losses will surely worsen the situation.

"There's no cushion against unemployment," he said.

And Pat Newport, an economist with Global Insight, pointed out that the latest numbers don't even capture the impact of some of the events of the past couple of months.

"The real economy took a sharp turn for the worse towards the end of the third quarter," he said. "Since then, housing permits are down, the National Association of Home Builders index of activity dropped to a record low in November and purchase loan applications were down 15%. That's telling us the housing market has worsened a lot."

Add to that a jumping unemployment rate and more bank woes and it adds up to lousy home price numbers for months to come, according to Newport.

"As bad as the latest Case-Shiller numbers appear to be, they are bound to get a lot worse," he said.

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The pace at which Americans are getting cancer has started to decline, marking what could be a long-awaited turning point in the battle against the disease, according to an annual report that tracks progress in the war on cancer.

Cancer deaths have also continued a decline that began in the early 1990s, meaning that for the first time both trend lines are dropping.

"It is a significant milestone," said Otis W. Brawley, chief medical officer at the American Cancer Society, which produces the report with the National Cancer Institute, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries.

The drop in new cancer diagnoses has been driven largely by declines in many of the leading forms of cancer: lung, prostate and colorectal cancer in men, and breast and colorectal cancer in women.

The analysis found that the overall incidence of cancer began inching down in 1999, but not until the data for 2005 were analyzed was it clear that a long-term decline was underway.

"The take-home message is that many of the things we've been telling people to do to be healthy have finally reached the point where we can say that they are working," Brawley said. "These things are really starting to pay off."

Brawley and others cautioned, however, that part of the reduction could be the result of fewer people getting screened for prostate and breast cancers. In addition, the rates at which many other types of cancer are being diagnosed are still increasing, he said, and overall far too many Americans are still getting and dying from cancer.

Cancer is still being diagnosed in about 1.4 million Americans each year, and 560,000 die from it.

"We still have a lot to do," Brawley said. "If you look at the data, it's clear that we could still do much better -- much, much better."

Some experts said the drop was not surprising, noting that it was primarily the result of a fall in lung cancer because of declines in smoking that occurred decades ago. They criticized the ongoing focus on detecting and treating cancer and called for more focus on prevention.

"The whole cancer establishment has been focused on treatment, which has not been terribly productive," said John C. Bailar III, who studies cancer trends at the National Academy of Sciences. "I think what people should conclude from this is we ought to be putting most of our resources where we know there has been progress, almost in spite of what we've done, and stop this single-minded focus on treatment."

Bailar and others argue that research should emphasize identifying the underlying causes of cancer, such as environmental exposures, to prevent it from occurring in the first place.


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Household spending and investment in big-ticket items plummeted in October in the United States, as major world economies announced new plans to try to boost demand to fight a deepening economic downturn.

New U.S. data showed a continuing decline in both consumer and business spending -- the dynamic that prompted the Federal Reserve and Treasury to announce on Tuesday an $800 billion plan to lower home loan mortgage rates and ensure households and small businesses have access to adequate credit. The European Commission today proposed its own $260 billion plan to rekindle growth, while China slashed a benchmark interest rate by the most since the Asian financial crisis in the 1990s.

In the United States, the Commerce Department said that orders for durable goods fell a quicker-than-expected 6.2 percent in October. Excluding volatile aircraft and defense purchases, capital investment by business was down 4 percent compared with the month before. Over the past three months, capital investment has fallen at a nearly 33 percent annualized rate, according to an analysis by the High Frequency Economics consulting firm -- a figure the company's chief U.S. economist, Ian Shepherdson, termed "terrifying."

Personal spending, meanwhile, dropped 1 percent in October compared with the month before -- the steepest one month decline since the Sept. 2001 terrorist attacks. A drop in the rate of inflation, helped by falling energy prices, put more money in people's pockets: Real disposable personal income, the amount of earnings left after taxes and adjusted for inflation, increased by 1 percent in October.

But the extra money went into savings as households continued to retrench. Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, and flagging demand could deepen the downturn that is already underway.

With credit markets still tight, financial companies ailing and the housing market in collapse, world governments have increasingly turned attention to the impact rising joblessness, stagnant incomes and falling consumer demand are having on the global economy. The loss of trillions of dollars in wealth and income over the past year -- from falling stock markets, declining homes prices and lost jobs -- has prompted households and businesses to pull back on spending, a fact felt in both the developed world and export-dependent developing nations such as China.

In Brussels today, European Commission President José Manuel Barroso announced a plan to commit the equivalent of 1.5 percent of Europe's combined economic output to a broad set of programs designed to stimulate demand, create jobs, rebuild infrastructure and spur innovation.

The 200 billion Euro program -- about $260 billion at today's exchange rate -- would be funded partly by individual nations and partly through central institutions such as the European Investment Bank.

While the commission -- the executive branch of the European Union -- cannot compel states to join the effort, Barroso said in a news conference he expected broad agreement on the idea that Europe must soon commit to a large public investment in economic growth.

Some nations, notably Germany, have proposed their own stimulus programs, and those would be folded into the overall amount, Barroso said. But those individual efforts have not yet been implemented and even as proposed don't go far enough, he said. Germany's plan to commit about $40 billion to economic stimulus equates to just about 1 percent of its gross domestic product, not the 1.5 percent that the commission feels is needed to meaningfully address the current slowdown.


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