'energy'에 해당되는 글 6건

  1. 2009.07.13 Buy Stocks (WIND Energy) ASAP by CEOinIRVINE
  2. 2009.03.24 Canada's Suncor to buy Petro-Canada by CEOinIRVINE
  3. 2008.12.11 Nobel Physicist Chosen To Be Energy Secretary by CEOinIRVINE
  4. 2008.11.25 The Obama Effect by CEOinIRVINE
  5. 2008.11.07 Energy & Genius by CEOinIRVINE
  6. 2008.10.02 Google to enter clean-energy business by CEOinIRVINE

Wind Energy Companies

A Snapshot of the Global Wind Industry

By Nick Hodge
Tuesday, August 26th, 2008

I've discussed wind energy in these pages many times before, but the conversation seems to have always turned to a discussion of wind turbine stocks.

Today, I want to take a step back, look at the industry as a whole, and focus more broadly onwind energy companies.

The Wind Energy Industry

First, let's get a quick rundown of the growth of the domestic and international wind markets out of the way.

Here's the chart for wind power capacity growth by year:

wind power capacity growth by country

As you can see, global installed capacity for wind energy has grown 482% over the last seven years, from 14,604 MW in 2000 to 84,934 MW in 2007.

Broken down further, the international wind industry has a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR or year-over-year) of 28.6%, which is impressive, to say the least.

But the past performance of the wind energy stocks is going to do little to help the future performance of your portfolio, apart from establishing an historic trend and highlighting what you've been missing.

So here's the global wind energy installed capacity forecast, going out to 2012:

wind energy installed capacity forecast
This data reveals that the industry will grow 215% between 2007 and 2012, from 84,934 MW to 267,837 MW. That's a CAGR of 25.8%

Now this is information that can give your portfolio a boost. In an industry that's doubling in size every four years or less, there are surely more than a few companies worthy of investment operating within it.

The only thing left to do is to actively seek out the best ones.

To start the search, it's probably worth taking a look at the countries currently boasting the highest year-over-year growth in the wind industry. So here they are, along with their respective annual growth rates, as provided by GlobalData:

  • Turkey, 95.4%

  • Mexico, 84.7%

  • Brazil, 61%

  • China, 54%

  • Poland, 50.9%

Of course, those are the fastest growing markets. According to GlobalData, the largest markets by megawatt capacity are:

  • China, 51,200 MW

  • U.S, 45,454 MW

  • Spain, 36,715 MW

  • Germany, 35,829 MW

  • India, 25,935 MW

The only thing left to do is single out the largest operators in those areas, invest, and reap the profits.

Wind Energy Companies

Let's begin with China since that's the only country to appear in both the largest market and fastest grower categories. Per GlobalData, here are the largest wind companies operating in China that each installed more than 100 MW in 2007:

  • Goldwind Science and Technology (SZ: 002202)

  • Sinovel Windtec Co.

  • Gamesa Corporacion Tecnologica (MCE: GAM)

  • Vestas Wind Systems (CPH: VWS)

  • Dongfang Electric Corporation (HKSE: 1072)

  • GE Energy (NYSE: GE)

  • Suzlon Energy Limited (NSE: SUZLON)

Most of those companies trade on foreign exchanges. If you dabble in those markets, my money is on Vestas and Gamesa, with Suzlon in third. But the companies that trade in China could see significant growth as the industry continues to mature.

Vestas, for example, is getting $1,628 per kW for their turbines. The average price is $1,008 per kW.

In the U.S., which is the market most of you are probably interested in, the dynamic shifts dramatically.

Here are the largest companies operating in our domestic wind market:

  • GE Energy (NYSE: GE)

  • Vestas Wind Systems (CPH: VWS)

  • Siemens AG (NYSE: SI)

  • Gamesa Corporacion Tecnologica (MCE: GAM)

  • Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (TYO: 7011)

  • Suzlon Energy Limited (NSE: SUZLON)

  • Clipper Windpower (LSE: CWP)

  • Nordex (FRANKFURT: NDX1)

Of course, my first two picks of Vestas and Gamesa still stand, and now you can see it's because of their intense presence across multiple markets. My sleeper pick here is Nordex.

The other side of the coin is to look at the largest wind farms being erected to identify the companies involved. Here are the companies that come up when discussing the largest planned wind farms in the U.S., and around the world:

  • Clipper Windpower (LSE: CWP)

  • British Petroleum (NYSE: BP)

  • Naikun Wind (TSX.V: NKW)

  • Vattenfall AB

  • SUEZ (PARIS: SZE)

  • RWE Group (XETRA: RWE)

Naikun probably offers the lowest share price in relation to potential for that group.

A Windy Future

So that's a snapshot of the global wind industry. I think some clear winners are definitely emerging.

But there is much more to come. And some tiny companies will certainly make their mark before all is said and done.

This is because the big boys alone can't satiate the surging demand for wind energy and related products and services.

For example, through 2020 in Europe, wind is expected to account for 34% of new generating capacity. It'll account for 46% from 2020-2030.

And the goal of attaining 12-14% of Europe's power from wind by 2020 is well within reach.

Here in the U.S., an Energy Department study found that wind energy could generate 20% of U.S. electricity by 2030, as compared to today's one percent.

So there's still a lot of work and investment to come.

The companies discussed so far will certainly play a vital role in wind's growth. But a handful of companies are providing specialty parts and service that are also crucial to the industry, like transmission cables, installation services, gearboxes, and, increasingly, turbines.

As I said, this is snapshot of the industry—a very dynamic industry that's constantly changing.

While it's possible to base investment decisions on stationary data like this, it's probably wise to have constant updates and recommendations to really stay on top of things, especially since they change everyday.

With that in mind, the Alternative Energy Speculator has designed a way for you to cash in on the booming wind energy market.

I've compiled a full report that analyzes the wind industry, telling you exactly how much it's going to grow, and releasing the names of three companies you must own if you want to reap lucrative wind profits.

You can't afford to miss this opportunity or the chance to get in today on the wind energy giants of tomorrow.

Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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Suncor Energy Inc. will acquire Petro-Canada in a US$15.5 billion deal that will unite two of Canada's biggest oil companies, the companies announced Monday.

The move is expected to yield savings in operating costs of over CA (nyse: CA - news - people )$300 million (US$244 million) year, and annual capital efficiencies above CA$1 billion (US$812 million), the companies said.

Under the deal, Petro-Canada (nyse: PCZ - news - people ) common shareholders will receive 1.28 common shares of the expanded company for each share of Petro-Canada, while Suncor shareholders will receive new shares on a one-for-one basis.

The share exchange represents a 25 percent premium for Petro-Canada shares, based on a 30-day weighted average of the share price. Based on the closing price Friday, the deal values Petro-Canada at CA$19.12 billion (US$15.5 billion)

Petro-Canada shareholders will hold 40 percent of the enlarged company and Suncor shareholders will hold 60 percent. Both companies are based in Calgary.

Monday's announcement marks the creation of the largest oil and gas company in Canada by market cap, though the merged entity will be smaller than other global heavyweights such as Exxon Mobil (nyse: XOM - news - people ) and ConocoPhillips (nyse: COP - news - people ), which boast market capitalizations of US$326.6 billion and US$55.97 billion respectively.

"This merger creates a made-in-Canada energy leader with the assets, cost structure and financial strength to compete globally," said Rick George, president and chief executive officer of Suncor, who will continue in those roles in the new company.

Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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Steven Chu, who won the 1997 Nobel for Physics, has focused on energy issues in recent years.
Steven Chu, who won the 1997 Nobel for Physics, has focused on energy issues in recent years. (Ben Margot - AP)


President-elect  Barack Obama has chosen Steven Chu, a Nobel Prize-winning physicist who heads the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, to be the next energy secretary, and he has picked veteran regulators from diverse backgrounds to fill three other key jobs on his environmental and climate-change team, Democratic sources said yesterday.

Obama plans to name Carol M. Browner, Environmental Protection Agency administrator for eight years under President Bill Clinton, to fill a new White House post overseeing energy, environmental and climate policies, the sources said. Browner, a member of Obama's transition team, is a principal at the Albright Group.

Obama has also settled on Lisa P. Jackson, recently appointed chief of staff to  New Jersey Gov. Jon S. Corzine (D) and former head of the New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection, to head the EPA. Nancy Sutley, a deputy mayor of Los Angeles for energy and environment, will chair the White House Council on Environmental Quality.

The appointments suggest that Obama plans to make a strong push for measures to combat global warming and programs to support energy innovation. "I think it's a great team," said Daniel A. Lashof, director of the Climate Center at the Natural Resources Defense Council. "On policy, it's a dramatic contrast based on what I know about the policy direction that all these folks will be bringing to these positions."

Obama has not yet settled on his choice to head the Interior Department, another key environmental post, and sources close to the transition indicated that several candidates remain under consideration. Barring any last-minute glitches, Obama plans to announce the appointments next week.

Chu, the son of Chinese immigrants, won the Nobel Prize for Physics in 1997 for his work in the "development of methods to cool and trap atoms with laser light." But, in an interview last year with The Washington Post, Chu said he began to turn his attention to energy and climate change several years ago. "I was following it just as a citizen and getting increasingly alarmed," he said. "Many of our best basic scientists [now] realize that this is getting down to a crisis situation."

He sought and won the top job at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in 2004, leaving the Stanford University faculty to focus on energy issues. Chu was in London last night and unavailable for comment, but the physicist has been, in the words of his Web site, on a "mission" to make the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory "the world leader in alternative and renewable energy research, particularly the development of carbon-neutral sources of energy."

The national laboratories fall under the Energy Department, whose budget is devoted largely to dealing with nuclear waste and materials from deactivated nuclear weapons, nuclear submarines and other reactors. But the department is also the conduit for funds that go to innovative energy technologies, including those designed to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide, the most common greenhouse gas.

Browner, a lawyer and native of Florida, was legislative director for then-Sen. Al Gore (D-Tenn.) and later head of the Florida Department of Environmental Protection under then-Gov. Lawton Chiles (D). As the top administrator at the EPA under Clinton, she pushed for tough air-pollution standards that the agency defended against industry lawsuits all the way to the Supreme Court, where the EPA prevailed. In her new role, Browner will need her legislative and administrative experience in a job that will cover everything from climate change to energy policy.

The Obama administration faces an unusually big agenda in this area. The president-elect is expected to tackle cap-and-trade legislation that would put a lid on and then lower greenhouse gas emissions. European governments are expecting him to do that before a crucial climate-change summit a year from now. Meanwhile, energy industries and environmental groups are lobbying on issues such as offshore drilling restrictions, permits for coal plant construction and expansion, nuclear reactor permits and loan guarantees, and tax breaks for renewable energy.

In addition, the new administration has to figure out how to wield the power given to the EPA last year by a Supreme Court ruling that said carbon dioxide emissions should be considered a pollutant under the Clean Air Act. How the EPA uses that power could determine the fate of all sorts of energy-intensive projects. Yesterday, the EPA said it would not finalize rules on new electricity-generating units, disappointing industry lobbyists and punting the issue to the Obama administration.

An African American native of New Orleans, Jackson grew up in the Ninth Ward, the poor and largely black neighborhood devastated by Hurricane Katrina. Jackson's mother, stepfather and godmother fled the city as the 2005 storm approached. A few months later, in her swearing-in speech as New Jersey's environmental chief, Jackson said the devastation wrought by Katrina put her environmental work in a new perspective.



Posted by CEOinIRVINE
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The Obama Effect

Business 2008. 11. 25. 04:38

President-elect's emphasis on the environment means more work for CIOs.

Ed Sperling
pic

Rarely do national political agendas have a direct bearing on CIOs, but next year will be different.

Frank Kelly, Deutsche Bank's (nyse: DB - news - people ) managing director and head of government affairs for the Americas, told the Semiconductor Industry Association Nov. 19 that the Obama administration will look to make swift and deep changes throughout the business world. And while Obama said this is "tech's time," he also said the emphasis will be on everything green.

For many CIOs who believed they could take their time rolling out more energy-efficient changes, including postponing the purchase of new equipment, this should serve as a wake-up call. Here's how things are likely to unfold:

--Pressure will be levied on coal- and oil-fired power generation plants to shift to more environmental-friendly technology. That means new technology, as well as the addition of scrubbers (or, in the case of coal-fired plants, gasification). The problem is this stuff is expensive, which will prompt the utilities--most of which are regulated by their respective states--to apply for rate increases.

While states are likely to approve these increases, they are even more likely to scale them based upon usage. The biggest users will bear the brunt of these changes, and data centers are among the largest consumers of electricity on the planet--and in many cases, the least efficient. That means there will be huge pressure to reduce energy consumption.

--Pressure on companies to cut electricity consumption will mean putting into place long-term plans more quickly, but at a time when budgets are being squeezed by the ongoing economic downturn. The good news is that there will probably be significant tax credits applied to the purchase of more efficient hardware, and a case can be made for sales of virtualization software. The bad news is that no one has the money to speed up these purchases at the moment, which should make for an interesting shuffle of prioritization within corporations.

Ironically, outsourcing is unlikely to reap the same tax benefits, because that's viewed as just handing off the energy problem to someone else. In fact, the numbers may work against software-as-a-service and cloud computing in the short term, because there are no tax benefits. It remains to be seen exactly what benefits will be offered, but this will be an interesting twist to what was viewed as an important cost-cutting trend six months ago.



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Energy & Genius

Business 2008. 11. 7. 03:34

How are we going to cope with energy prices that are not just high but explosively volatile? It will take a lot of inventive genius. If the world doesn't figure this out it will suffer depressed economies for years to come. It is bad enough that the price of oil doubled from early 2007 to $145 last summer. Now the sudden collapse of that price to $64 makes many an alternative energy project look foolish. Investors aren't going to pour billions of dollars into deep-sea drilling, tar sands mining or solar energy factories if the price of energy keeps falling. But if the funders pull back we'll just be setting ourselves up for another crisis. The International Energy Agency says humanity will consume 700 quadrillion Btu a year by 2030, up 40% from today. (The U.S. consumes 101 quads a year, 86% from carbon fuels.) That's a lot of demand growth for a world trying to wean itself off fossil fuels.

This special issue of Forbes explores both the supply and the demand sides of energy economics. On the supply side we look at biofuel-emitting bacteria, micronukes, smarter grids, clean coal and that perennial favorite of politicians, ethanol. On the demand side we look at hybrid cars, the metal mining that may make hybrids more compelling and a utility chief who wants to get paid to produce fewer watts.

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Search giant Google on Tuesday pledged to spend hundreds of millions of dollars to make renewable energy cheaper than coal.

The effort, dubbed RE<C (shorthand for "renewable energy less than coal"), calls for Google to invest in companies developing clean-energy technologies and for Google itself to next year invest tens of millions in research and development in renewable energy.

Technologies created by Google will likely be used by Google, whose data centers are voracious consumers of electricity. The company envisions either selling electricity from renewable sources or licensing technology on terms that would promote broad adoption, according to company founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin.

Its overarching goal is to produce 1 gigawatt of electricity from renewable sources--enough to power the city of San Francisco--faster than the current pace of green-technology development.

"The main crux of this is that we believe that you can do it cheaper than coal...and we want to make it happen now," said Page, Google's president of products. "Most people who are doing this now are trying to do it less expensive than people before, but they are not trying for that goal which will have a significant effect on the world."

Investments in other companies will be funded by Google's philanthropic arm, Google.org, which has about $2 billion worth of Google stock available to it.

In particular, Google will be investing in solar-thermal technology, wind power, and geothermal systems. Its target is to fall below the price of coal power generation, which can be as low as 2.5 cents per kilowatt-hour, said Bill Weihl, Google's green-energy czar.

Google said it's already working with eSolar, a solar-thermal company building systems for utilities to generate electricity from heat. It has invested in Makani Power, which is pursuing electricity generation by harnessing wind at high altitudes.

As part of the effort, Google will be hiring experts in the energy field. It expects to hire 20 to 30 people into its clean-energy division in the next year. More substantial investments will come as energy projects come online, Weihl said.

Although an ambitious plan, Google's impact on the clean-tech market segment in the near term is likely to be more psychological than financial, said Paul Clegg, a senior equity analyst who follows clean tech at Jefferies.

"Tens of millions of dollars is not a small number, obviously, but you're spreading that over things that a lot of other companies are attacking on an individual basis with more money going at it," Clegg said. "I think they'd have to invest a lot more money to get the next Manhattan Project going."

However, Google's initiative is significant in that it could indicate how corporations will start addressing their energy needs and climate change going forward, he said.

A strategic move
The push to mitigate the effects of climate change through clean energy falls squarely into Google.org's missions to improve human health and alleviate poverty, said Larry Brilliant, the executive director of Google.org.

Its foray into the energy business is part of Google's corporate charter to expand into new business areas that are "strategic," according to Brin.

As a large consumer, Google can benefit from cheaper sources of electricity and technologies it successfully develops could generate revenue, he said. In addition, those technologies could potentially bring cheaper sources of electricity to areas of the world that don't have it.

"For economic development to be possible in these areas and for new industries to be spurred along, we want to develop cheap alternatives that are widely available," Brin said. "This isn't just about solving a problem. It also creates a gigantic opportunity."


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