The Debate Decoder: Analysis
  Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, October 3, 2008; Page A01

ST. LOUIS, Oct. 2 -- Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin spent much of the past two weeks on the defensive, hounded by critics over halting performances in television interviews and questioned even by conservative writers doubtful about whether she is ready to be vice president.


But the Palin who showed up for Thursday's debate against Democratic Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr. was anything but defensive. In a fast-paced exchange about a range of domestic and foreign policy issues, she was the aggressive campaigner who in the first weeks of her candidacy had so energized the Republican faithful.

As a result, what was touted as a moment of truth for Palin instead turned into a lively and civil argument between the two vice presidential nominees over the policies and records of Sens. John McCain and Barack Obama. For 90 minutes, they sparred over Iraq and Afghanistan, energy and global warming, the economy and taxes, and which candidate would do more to protect the middle class.

One debate will not erase doubts that have been building about Palin's capacity to serve as vice president, but the effect of the encounter may shift the focus away from the sideshow that Palin has become and put it back on the two presidential nominees and what they would do for the country. Thursday's debate adds to the importance of the two remaining presidential debates, the first of which will be held Tuesday.

Palin produced at a moment McCain needed it most. In the past two weeks, his standing has deteriorated as the focus of national attention has shifted almost entirely to the economy. National and state polls show Obama gaining ground, and the preface to the debate Thursday was the news that McCain is pulling out of Michigan, once seen as a potential pickup.

She has done so twice, the first time coming at the Republican National Convention when Palin blunted growing criticism with a strong performance that lit up Republican hearts. But whether that will be enough to change the direction of a race that looks increasingly difficult for the Republicans is another story.

Biden did all he could Thursday to make sure that would not happen. If Palin was the surprise, he was the steady and experienced voice. She brought liveliness but he was looking to reassure voters who may have their own questions about Obama's readiness. If his effort resonated, Biden will have produced dividends for Obama and the Democrats.

For Palin detractors who expected a meltdown onstage at Washington University, the night was a disappointment. Republican strategists not directly connected with the campaign, some of whom had low expectations about how she would do, were thrilled by her performance. And if Biden's detractors hoped he would be windy or overbearing, they, too, were disappointed. He showed off his three decades of Washington experience in a way designed to instill confidence in voters about himself and Obama.

Palin and Biden were each appealing in their own way -- and in ways that neither McCain nor Obama were in their first debate last Friday. Palin wore a bright smile throughout the exchange and carried herself with confidence. McCain at times seemed testy and spent 90 minutes avoiding looking at Obama, but Palin directed her comments at her opponent and made eye contact. "Can I call you Joe?" she asked him as they strode across the stage for the traditional handshake during the introductions.

Biden was direct, not verbose, and his answers came crisply in contrast to Obama's more studied and sometimes pausing style of speaking. That he knew his brief was less surprising, given his experience, but he avoided speaking in the kind of senatorial vernacular that often hampers someone who has been in the capital as long as he has. And he, too, flashed his smile to good effect.

Palin, who struggled with questions in televised interviews, came to Thursday's debate well briefed. She did not stumble over names of foreign leaders. She had quick comebacks when Biden challenged her or went after McCain.

She also came with a game plan. Time and again, she invoked her small-town roots, her status as a Washington outsider and her connections as a hockey and soccer mom. If you want Washington changed, she said, send two mavericks to clean things up. "I think we need a little bit of reality from Wasilla Main Street there, brought to Washington, D.C.," she said.





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Sen. Barack Obama is widening his lead against Sen. John McCain in recent polls.

Sen. Barack Obama is widening his lead against Sen. John McCain in recent polls.


"He certainly did nothing for the first few days," McCain told Fox News on Thursday. "I suspended my campaign, took our ads down, came back to Washington, met with the House folks and got on the phone, and also had face-to-face meetings."

New CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corporation polls of several key battleground states released Wednesday found Obama has made gains across the board -- either taking statistically significant leads or erasing McCain advantages -- over the past few weeks.

Since the financial crisis began in mid-September, Obama has taken and held a lead over McCain in the national CNN poll of polls.

But the Republican nominee said the economic anxiety-fueled poll swing was probably a blip. "Well, first of all, you know very well that these are temporary things,'' he said on MSNBC's Morning Joe. "The focus was on the fiscal crisis we were facing. I understand that. I understand there are going to be ups and downs in campaigns. I'm happy where I am ..."

McCain, appearing on CNN's American Morning on Thursday, also said the economic bailout bill will get passed by the full Congress, and he continued to take a swipe at his Democratic rival's efforts on the bill.

McCain also praised his efforts in getting House Republicans to come together.\

The bailout package, which was backed by both the Democratic and Republican congressional leadership, as well as President Bush, failed in the House by a vote of 228 to 205.

Both McCain and Obama, his Democratic rival, voted Wednesday night in favor of the bill. It passed 74 to 25. The bill now goes to the House for a vote.

McCain said he was "proud of the work that I did, particularly engaging the House Republicans who have been completely shut out of any negotiations. It's now going to be a bipartisan and bicameral result." Video Watch more of McCain's comments »

"I came back and suspended my campaign and got the House into the negotiations at the table, which they had not been before. We were able to get a large increase in the number of Republicans who voted for it. We were able to make significant changes in the bill, which improved it rather dramatically. And I'm confident it will go through the House of Representatives."

McCain said Obama's approach was to "phone it in" -- in regards to working with congressional leaders.

"That's the difference. I suspended my campaign and put my country first. And even if I had failed, it was still the right thing to do. We didn't fail. It's going to pass."

But McCain himself spent much of weekend speaking on the phone with congressional members in his Arlington, Virginia, campaign headquarters.

McCain also said his running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, will perform well in Thursday night's vice presidential debate in St. Louis, Missouri.

"The fact is she'll do fine tonight. She has experience, talent, leadership. She has great inner strength. She has an ability to lead that's been proven, taken on her own party," he said. "Joe Biden and Barack Obama have never taken on the leaders of their party on any issue. She's stood up for what's right for the people of Alaska. And she will stand up for what's right for America." Video Watch CNN's Bill Schneider weigh in on the VP debate »

The comments come after Palin has faced criticism for her performance during recent interviews with journalist Katie Couric.

In two separate interviews, Palin had trouble defending McCain's record on regulation issues, discussing the economic bailout, defending her foreign policy credentials, naming her preferred sources of news and naming a Supreme Court case she disagrees with.

Asked if Couric's questions were fair, McCain said he would let the American people decide.

"I know that there have been attacks on Sarah Palin that have been remarkable to me in many ways, but I have total confidence in her. She's very comfortable in her own skin," he said.

Obama, meanwhile, is in Michigan on Thursday, focusing on the economic crisis -- and his solutions to fixing it -- while also criticizing his rival.

"He's talked a lot about getting tough on Wall Street. But over the past few decades, he's fought against the very rules of the road that could have stopped this mess," he said at a rally in Grand Rapids.

"Just two weeks ago, John McCain said the fundamentals of the economy were strong. ... I don't know what yardstick Sen. McCain uses, but where I come from, there's nothing more fundamental than a job," he added.

Obama also urged the House to pass the bailout bill.


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With the vice presidential candidates set to square off today in their only scheduled debate, public assessments of Sarah Palin's readiness have plummeted, and she may now be a drag on the Republican ticket among key voter groups, according to a new Washington Post-ABC Newspoll.

onight's heavily anticipated debate comes just five weeks after the popular Alaska governor entered the national spotlight as Sen. John McCain's surprise pick to be his running mate. Though she initially transformed the race with her energizing presence and a fiery convention speech, Palin is now a much less positive force: Six in 10 voters see her as lacking the experience to be an effective president, and a third are now less likely to vote for McCain because of her.

A month ago, voters rated Palin as highly as they did McCain or his Democratic rival, Sen. Barack Obama, but after weeks of intensive coverage and several perceived missteps, the shine has diminished.

Nearly a third of adults in a new poll from the Pew Research Center said they paid a lot of attention to Palin's interviews with CBS News's Katie Couric, a series that prompted grumbling among some conservative commentators about Palin's competency to be the GOP's vice presidential standard-bearer. The Pew poll showed views of Palin slipping over the past few days alone.

In the new Post-ABC poll, Palin matches the Democratic vice presidential candidate,Sen. Joseph R. Biden Jr., on empathy, one of McCain's clear deficits against Obama, while fewer than half of voters think she understands "complex issues."

But it is the experience question that may prove her highest hurdle, particularly when paired with widespread public concern about McCain's age. About half of all voters said they were uncomfortable with the idea of McCain taking office at age 72, and 85 percent of those voters said Palin does not have the requisite experience to be president.


The 60 percent who now see Palin as insufficiently experienced to step into the presidency is steeply higher than in a Post-ABC poll after her nomination early last month. Democrats and Republicans alike are now more apt to doubt her qualifications, but the biggest shift has come among independents.

In early September, independents offered a divided verdict on Palin's experience; now they take the negative view by about 2 to 1. Nearly two-thirds of both independent men and women in the new poll said Palin has insufficient experience to run the White House.

Obama was able for the first time to crack the 50 percent mark, albeit barely, on whether he has the experience to be president following Friday's presidential debate, and the question is one of Palin's central challenges as she prepares to face Biden in prime time before a national television audience.

More than two-thirds of voters in the Pew poll said they plan to watch the debate, far more than said they were going to turn on the vice presidential debate four years ago. The expectations are that Biden, a six-term senator, will win: Voters by a 19-point margin think he will prove to be the better debater.

In the new Post-ABC poll, majorities of conservatives and Republicans maintain that Palin has the necessary experience to step in as president, though those numbers are also down somewhat from early last month.


But a third of independent voters now indicate they are less likely to support McCain because of Palin, compared with 20 percent who said so in an ABC poll a month ago. Palin now repels more independents than she attracts to McCain. The share of independent women less apt to support McCain because of the Palin pick has more than doubled to 34 percent, while the percentage more inclined to support him is down eight points.




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(Susan Walsh/AP)



The heart of Sarah Palin's appeal is --

Wait, did you see that? There! She did it again: wrinkled up her nose in a way that either looks like a sneer or is adorably reminiscent of Samantha from "Bewitched." Depending on whom you talk to.

Next time you see a clip of the Republican vice presidential nominee, try this exercise. Mute your TV and just watch that face. How often do you see someone in political life so extravagantly expressive? The eyebrows go up, the shoulder leans in, the thumb jauntily gestures backward, the tongue actually fixes in the cheek. To mock Barack Obama, she licks her finger and holds it to the imaginary wind! And that smile, that nearly ever-present smile, which either indicates -- oh, dear, here we go again -- that she's sarcastic and dismissive or that she's letting you in on a very clever joke.

People love her so. People hate her so. At the heart of it is the delivery, a style of speaking we'll see again in tomorrow night's debate, a style that reaches past folksy and veers into the territory of -- to hell with it, cue the charges of sexism -- cute.

"She's perky, she's spunky," says Republican speechwriter Landon Parvin, who has written for both Presidents Bush. "She has this quality -- in a 1950s comedy, her father would call her 'Button.' "

And?

"This allows her to get away with murder," he says.

All you wannabe hockey moms who imagine yourselves having coffee with Sarah Palin and swapping five-minute dinner recipes? Who find it endearing when Palin refers to her husband as "my guy"? Who like the smiling certainty in her tone, the determination in her squint?This is for you.

And all you Pal-lergics who dislike not only her hard-edged politics but that spoonful of sugar she serves it with? Who say her manner reminds you of -- we'll quote here from a Pal-lergic named Judi Dickerson who coaches actors on dialogue -- "the snotty head cheerleader in high school who was untouchable because she was always gonna win"? This is for you, too.

Sarah Palin is many things -- somber is not one of them. There's something about her delivery that suggests she's almost always having fun. You know how they call Joe Biden the happy warrior? Palin has a similar quality -- the ability to attack without seeming angry. Some of that is the smile on her face and the evident humor in her voice, as Sheila Tate, Nancy Reagan's former press secretary, points out.

But there's a lot more at work. It starts with the way Palin's delivery allows her to leap through the camera into your living room. Perhaps in part because of her background as a television reporter and beauty pageant competitor, she seems to understand how the camera works.

"What she knows is that the camera is a thief," says Republican strategist Ron Bonjean, who has worked for former House speaker Dennis Hastert and former Senate majority leader Trent Lott, among others. "The camera will steal your emotions and make you flat, and what she's doing is over-emphasizing her emotions, over-emphasizing her delivery, in order to get that realness across to the camera."

The realness is what her fans talk about -- that she's like them, that she doesn't seem contrived. "We feel like she talks like we do," says Susan Geary, a Richmond retiree who attended a McCain-Palin rally in Fairfax last month. "Like she's sitting in your kitchen."

There's a consistency to Palin's appeal -- if you go back and look at old clips of her, you see many of the same stylistic elements -- the warmth and the eager delivery, the voice that drops and rises emphatically, the dropped g's.

"That's been her bread and butter for 20 years, from the day she sat down in front of the TV cameras to do her sportscasting," says Anchorage-based pollster Ivan Moore. "Her success in her political career has been based on being able to project this enormously friendly, enormously appealing physical presence -- and,


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Congressional leaders and the Bush administration this morning said they had struck an accord to insert the government deeply into the nation's financial markets, agreeing to spend up to $700 billion to relieve Wall Street of troubled assets backed by faltering home mortgages.

House and Senate negotiators from both parties emerged with Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. at 12:30 a.m. from a marathon session in the Capitol to announce that they had reached a tentative agreement on a proposal to give Paulson broad authority to organize one of the biggest government interventions in the private sector since the Great Depression.

Congressional aides worked through the night to assemble the package, and hoped to post it to the Internet by midday today. Meanwhile, as preparations were being made for a vote in the House tomorrow morning, the congressional caucuses were preparing their own private huddles to review the proposal. The most critical meeting, among House Republicans, was expected later this afternoon. They have been the most reluctant to support the plan to purchase the securities. House Democrats were likely to meet in mid-afternoon.


"We've made great progress, but we have to commit it to paper before we can formally agree," said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), who has pledged to make the plan available to the public for at least 24 hours before the House votes on it. A vote could come as early as tomorrow in the House, with the Senate expected to follow soon after.

"We've been working on this a long time. We've still got more to do to finalize it, but I think we're there," Paulson said. "So far, so good."

Rep. Roy Blunt (R-Mo.), who represented House Republicans, the group that had raised the most serious objections to the plan, said he was pleased with the progress made but that he had to take the proposal back to his caucus before committing his support for it. "I look forward to what we're going to see on paper and presenting these ideas to my colleagues and getting their reaction," Blunt said.

House Republicans appeared headed for a potentially spirited fight.

The office of House Minority Leader John A. Boehner, without officially endorsing the legislation, put out a series of talking points in the early afternoon outlining the favorable portions of the bill for conservatives.

However, one leading conservative, Rep. Mike Pence (R-Ind.), issued what amounted to a call to arms to fight the bailout.

"The decision to give the federal government the ability to nationalize almost every bad mortgage in America interrupts this basic truth of our free market economy. ... Before you vote, ask yourself why you came here and vote with courage and integrity to those principals. If you came here because you believe in limited government and the freedom of the American marketplace, vote in accordance with those convictions," Pence wrote to House Republicans today.

A senior administration official, who requested anonymity to speak freely about the plan, said both sides had made significant concessions to achieve compromise. The Bush administration has agreed to accept a number of Democratic demands, including:

· The money would be disbursed in segments, with Paulson receiving $250 billion immediately, $100 billion upon White House certification of its necessity and the final $350 billion only after Congress has been given 15 days to object.



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Most debate watchers agreed both McCain and Obama would be able to handle the job of president if elected.

Most debate watchers agreed both McCain and Obama would be able to handle the job of president if elected.


OXFORD, Mississippi (CNN) -- A national poll of people who watched the first presidential debate suggests that Barack Obama came out on top, but there was overwhelming agreement that both Obama and John McCain would be able to handle the job of president if elected.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey is not a measurement of the views of all Americans, since only people who watched the debate were questioned and the audience included more Democrats than Republicans.

Fifty-one percent of those polled thought Obama did the better job in Friday night's debate, while 38 percent said John McCain did better.

Men were nearly evenly split between the two candidates, with 46 percent giving the win to McCain and 43 percent to Obama. But women voters tended to give Obama higher marks, with 59 percent calling him the night's winner, while just 31 percent said McCain won.

"It can be reasonably concluded, especially after accounting for the slight Democratic bias in the survey, that we witnessed a tie in Mississippi tonight," CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib said. "But given the direction of the campaign over the last couple of weeks, a tie translates to a win for Obama."


Silverleib said. "But given the direction of the campaign over the last couple of weeks, a tie translates to a win for Obama." Watch entire debate: Video Part 1 » | Video Part 2 » | Video Part 3 »

McCain apparently failed to get the "game changer" he needed to reverse his deficit in the polls, Silverleib said. Grade the candidates' performances in the debate

Both candidates appeared to exceed expectations. McCain did better than expected in the minds of 60 percent, while 57 percent said Obama did a better job in the debate than they expected. Twenty percent said both candidates did worse than expected

More than two-thirds of debate watchers agreed that both McCain and Obama would be able to handle the job of president if elected.

National security has been an issue where McCain has held an advantage, but his edge over Obama -- 49 percent to 45 percent -- on the question of which candidate would best handle terrorism is within the poll's 4.5 percent margin of error.

The economy, which has been Obama's terrain this cycle, dominated the first half of the debate. Debate watchers gave him a 21 percentage point edge -- 58 to 37 percent -- on the question of which candidate would do a better job handling the economy.

By a similar margin, those polled said Obama would be better able to deal with the current financial crisis facing the nation.

The real impact of the debate may not be apparent right away.

"The real test will come in a few days when we see whether support for Obama or McCain changes in polls involving all voters, not just debate watchers," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

"In post-debate polls after the first faceoff in 2004, John Kerry got virtually the same numbers as Obama did tonight. Polls released a few days later showed Kerry gaining five points in the horse race."

Good post-debate poll numbers don't always spell success in the horse race, he said.

"Kerry also won the third debate in 2004 with the same numbers that Obama got in tonight's poll, but his support dropped five points after that event," Holland said.

Poll interviews were conducted with 524 adult Americans who watched the debate and were conducted by telephone on September 26. All interviews were done after the end of the debate. The margin of error for the survey is plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

The results may be favoring Obama simply because more Democrats than Republicans tuned in to the debate. Of the debate-watchers questioned in this poll, 41 percent of the respondents identified themselves as Democrats, 27 percent as Republicans and 30 percent as independents.

The best estimate of the number of Democrats in the voting age population as a whole indicates that the sample is roughly 5 to 7 percentage points more Democratic than the population as a whole.

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Before moderator Jim Lehrer at the University of Mississippi, Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain sparred over the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the fight against terrorism in Pakistan.
Before moderator Jim Lehrer at the University of Mississippi, Sens. Barack Obama and John McCain sparred over the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the fight against terrorism in Pakistan. (Pool Photo By Chip Somodevilla)

OXFORD, Miss., Sept. 26 -- Sen. Barack Obama sharply criticizedSen. John McCain's judgment on the war in Iraq, repeatedly telling his presidential rival "you were wrong" to rush the nation into battle, directly challenging the Republican nominee on foreign policy as the two met in their first debate of the general-election season.

McCain aggressively pushed back, accusing Obama of failing to understand that a new approach employed by Gen. David H. Petraeus in Iraq would lead to victory and mocking him as naive for his willingness to meet with some of the world's most brutal leaders.

With 40 days remaining before Election Day and the U.S. economy teetering, the two clashed on taxes, energy policy, Russian aggression in Georgia and the threat posed by Iran. Neither made a serious mistake in an encounter that capped one of the most chaotic weeks of the campaign, nor was either able to claim a decisive victory.

The debate itself almost did not happen. McCain's dramatic midweek announcement that he was suspending his campaign to focus on the nation's financial crisis left the face-off in limbo as both candidates rushed back to Washington on Thursday and plunged themselves into the acrimonious negotiations over a $700 billion economic bailout.

On Friday, McCain reversed his pledge to stay in Washington until those negotiations concluded. And once on stage at the University of Mississippi, it was the exchanges about how to keep the United States safe that put the starkest differences between the two men on display.


"Senator Obama said the 'surge' could not work, said it would increase sectarian violence, said it was doomed to failure," McCain said, focusing on recent improvements in conditions in Iraq. "But yet, after conceding that, he still says that he would oppose the surge if he had to decide that again today."

"John, you like to pretend like the war started in 2007," the senator from Illinois shot back. "The war started in 2003."

In rapid-fire succession, Obama accused his rival of being in the wrong more than once as President Bush led the nation to war in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. "You said we knew where the weapons of mass destruction were. You were wrong. You said that we were going to be greeted as liberators. You were wrong. You said that there was no history of violence between Shia and Sunni. And you were wrong."

Later, McCain's voice dripped with derision as he questioned Obama's statement that he would meet with the leaders of rogue foreign countries, including Iranian PresidentMahmoud Ahmadinejad.

"So let me get this right: We sit down with Ahmadinejad, and he says, 'We're going to wipe Israel off the face of the Earth,' and we say, 'No, you're not'?" the senator from Arizona said, as Obama tried to object.

Obama pushed back on McCain's criticism, saying, "I reserve the right, as president of the United States, to meet with anybody at a time and place of my choosing if I think it's going to keep America safe."

In response to the first question of the debate, Obama and McCain discarded the scheduled topic of foreign affairs and waded into a discussion of the nation's financial crisis, with both saying they are optimistic that Congress will agree on a financial bailout plan in the coming days.

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Event was designed to focus on national security and foreign policy, but the economy and the bailout package lead off the questions. (Bloomberg)

McCain and Obama Duel Over Judgement, Foreign Policy

By Ben Pershing
washingtonpost.com staff writer

Sens. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Barack Obama (D-Ill.) kicked off the first general election debate of a tight presidential contest tonight, tackling the national economic crisis and then pivoting to an increasingly heated series of exchanges over policies in Iraq and Afghanistan..

The debate, moderated by Jim Lehrer of the PBS NewsHour, was designed to focus on national security and foreign policy, but the early rounds were dominated by the country's grave economic news.

Much of the debate featured McCain on offense, lobbing charges at Obama that the Democrat has been forced to rebut. McCain repeatedly sought to cast Obama as inexperienced and unsophisticated on national security issues, saying several times that the Democrat "doesn't understand" foreign policy concepts and dynamics.

"There are some advantages to experience, and I honestly don't believe Senator Obama has the knowledge or experience, and has made the wrong judgeement in a number of areas," McCain said near the end of the debate.

Lehrer began the debate by immediately plunging into the news of the day, asking the two men: "Where do you stand on the national recovery plan?"

Obama answered first, saying "we are at a defining moment in our history," amidst two wars and a difficult "financial crisis."

Obama ticked off his priorities for the bailout package, emphasizing oversight, the need for taxpayers to potentially recoup their money, ensuring that CEOs of companies that receive aid not get "golden parachutes," and making sure that homeowners get assistance.

McCain, who has been criticized for not acknowledging quickly enough the severity of the economic situation, warned: "Have no doubt about the magnitude of this crisis."

Asked whether he would vote for the bailout plan, McCain said "I hope so" and "sure."

McCain emphasized his disdain for the current Wall Street culture, in which "greed is rewarded, excess is rewarded ... People are going to be held accountable in my administration."

Obama attempted to take a longer view, lamenting that Washington didn't craft better policies before the current crisis.

McCain went on the attack on the next question, criticizing Obama for his record of requesting more than $900 million worth of earmarks for his state and vowing to veto overstuffed spending bills. "That's a fundamental difference between me and Senator Obama. I want to cut spending. I want to keep taxes low," McCain said.

Obama fired back by criticizing both the Bush administration's tax proposals and McCain's plan, suggesting that tax cuts for the wealthy dwarfed earmarks in their relative slice of the federal budget.

"Eliminating earmarks alone is not how we are going to get the middle class back on track," Obama said.

Asked what they would have to give up as president because of the financial crisis, Obama avoided a direct answer and instead provided a laundry list of programs he would initiate and emphasize. Under further questioning, he said he might have to cut back on some of the programs he favors to reduce U.S. dependency on foreign oil. McCain vowed to cut spending overall, and continued his aggressive stance by taking a swipe at Obama for being most liberal Senator, a reference to his vote rating by National Journal. McCain suggested it is difficult to reach across the aisle "when you're that far to the left."

Shifting abroad, Lehrer asked the candidates what lessons they had learned from the Iraq war.

"The lessons of Iraq are clear, you can not have a failed strategy," McCain said, adding that he had called for a change of strategy early in the war and that the troop surge, which he supported, had been successful in putting the U.S. on a path to victory "with honor."

Obama responded by referencing his opposition to going to the war in the first place, contrasting it with McCain and Bush's advocacy in favor of the conflict.

"I wish for the sake of the country that I had been wrong and they were right, but that's not been the case," Obama said, charging that Iraq was a distraction from American efforts in Afghanistan and that al-Qaeda was resurgent as a result.

The exchanges grew more heated as the next question continued on the subject of Afghanistan. Obama said more troops were needed in the country "as quickly as possible" and that he would send "two to three additional brigades" there. Obama also called for additional pressure on Pakistan to force the government there to crack down on al Qaeda within its borders.

McCain said he would "work with the Pakistani government" and would not call for cutting aid to the country, suggesting Obama was irresponsible. Obama struck back by recalling that McCain had once threatened North Korea with "extinction" and sang a song joking about bombing Iran.

Still on offense, McCain criticized Obama for saying he would meet with the Iranian prime minister "without preconditions." Obama retorted by pointing out that his policy has been echoed by the Bush administration and several former secretaries of state, including Henry Kissinger, an advisor to McCain.

The crisis on Wall Street has intersected with the campaign trail in recent days. High-level negotiations on Capitol Hill over a massive financial rescue package brought both candidates rushing back to Washington this week along with a brief suspension of the McCain campaign and a call by the Arizonan to delay tonight's debate, which was months in the making.

Obama resisted that call, and the fate of the gathering at the University of Mississippi in Oxford was uncertain until late this morning, when McCain judged that there was "significant progress toward a bipartisan agreement" and hastily left Washington to travel south.

The nominal topic of tonight's debate, foreign policy, was thought to be Obama's biggest weakness relative to McCain, and the Republican pressed for advantage. In particular, McCain emphasized his steadfast support -- and the apparent success -- of the troop surge in Iraq and contrast that record with Obama's mixed record on the issue.

As he has repeatedly done throughout the race, Obama sought to steer the discussion further back, to make the case that he was right in initially opposing the war while McCain was as misguided as the Bush administration in backing it.

Polling has shown the race to be tight since McCain and Obama clinched their respective party nominations, but the debate came as Obama has opened a narrow lead driven by the focus on economic news -- a strong suit both for him and the Democratic party in general, according to surveys. The Washington Post/ABC News poll released Wednesday showed Obama leading McCain, 52 percent to 43 percent, among likely voters. Other surveys this week have showed a tighter race, and the RealClearPolitics average of recent national surveys gives the Democrat a four-point edge.

Having apparently lost the burst of momentum he gained after choosing Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate and staging an energetic Republican National Convention, McCain has had a turbulent two weeks leading up to tonight's debate.

Democrats pounced last week when McCain said "the fundamentals of our economy remain strong," the same day the storied financial firm Lehman Brothers collapsed and the stock market was tumbling. McCain quickly revised his public outlook on the economy, but the Obama campaign was already racing to paint him as out of touch with the concerns of average Americans.

Even after acknowledging the severity of both Wall Street and Main Street's problems, McCain still saw his poll numbers dropping and the narrative of the campaign shift in Obama's favor. Those factors may have contributed to his stunning announcement Wednesday that he was suspending his campaign, taking ads off the air and returning to Washington to involve himself in bailout negotiations.

As partisans argued over McCain's motivations and analysts debated the wisdom of his move, the Republican nominee entered the negotiating process just as a potential deal was collapsing Thursday afternoon. At McCain's urging, President Bush convened an unusual summit at the White House that included congressional leaders of both parties as well as McCain and Obama. At that session, the bailout package the administration and Hill Democrats were nearing agreement on fell apart when House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-Ohio) said his members would not go along and McCain was reportedly quiet and non-commital.

While Thursday's events marked a setback, there were indications today that all sides might be gradually working toward a compromise package that would incorporate at least some of the ideas advocated by House Republicans. Both McCain and Obama will likely have a chance tonight to make their own views known in detail.

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Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain and his wife leave the Ford Center after previewing the debate's location.

First Presidential Debate: What To Watch For



The first presidential debate is finally here and the candidates have likely completed their preparations. Here's what we'll be watching for in tonight's main event.

The debate that almost wasn't is now back on track for 9 p.m. ET tonight at the University of Mississippi in Oxford. John McCain and Barack Obama are on the ground in the Magnolia State -- home to the legendary Burns Strider -- and making their last minute preparations for what is almost certainly the most important moment in the general election to date.

What should you watch for in the 90 minute battle tonight? The Fix spoke with a variety of Democratic and Republican sources to get their viewer's guide to the festivities. Their thoughts -- plus a few of our own -- are below.

And, DO NOT forget that we will be live Twittering the entire night. Want to keep up with our thoughts on McCain, Obama, moderator Jim Lehrer, the cable news coverage, Catholic field hockey, songs we like and any number of other thoughts? Make sure to sign up for The Fix Twitter feed as soon as humanly possible. You can also follow our tweets tonight right here on The Fix.

Temperament: Tone matters in presidential debates -- especially in the general election. Voters don't like seeing the two men competing to lead the country engage in a series of shouting matches. McCain has shown in his political life -- and occasionally in the primary debate -- a tendency to lose his cool a bit, to allow himself to be bated into a nasty exchange when staying above the fray is required. Expect Obama to bait McCain early in tonight's debate in hopes of eliciting an angry -- and impolitic -- answer. Obama, too, has had temperament issues during the primary debates; he was often too cool, too removed from personal side of issues like the economy, health care and the war in Iraq. Obama tonight has to find a happy medium between the coolness that evokes unflattering comparisons to Adlai Stevenson and the heat that does not come naturally to him.

Foreign or Domestic: The more this supposed foreign-policy themed debate is focused on the economic crisis currently roiling Wall Street, the better for Obama. McCain has been playing defense on the issue for the last week or so and his inability to close a deal (or make a deal in the first place) during his trip to Washington makes him look even more vulnerable on the issue. Expect both candidates to channel former senator John Edwards's populist economic message, each touting himself as the person best equipped to fight for the little guy against the big corporation. Neither man is a natural populist, however, so each must be careful not to be seen as trying to pander for votes. The only thing voters dislike more than someone who disagrees with them is someone who they feel is just saying what they want to hear.

Obama and the Surge: The biggest potential pitfall for the Democratic nominee in this foreign policy debate is the contradiction between his initial opposition to the surge in Iraq and his statement earlier this month to Bill O'Reilly that the surge had "succeeded beyond our wildest dreams." For Obama, the most dangerous thing in this campaign are situations in which he appears to be doing the political thing; at the core of Obama's brand is this idea of the Illinois senator as an anti-politician -- the more he hems and haws to explain his contradictory statements, the more potential damage he does to that brand.

McCain and Iraq: The issue of Iraq has taken a backburner for nearly the entire primary and general election campaign to date, a positive development for McCain whose positioning on the issue is out of step with many Americans. McCain has been able to cast his continued support for the war -- and his early advocacy for the troop surge -- as a sign of his willingness to put what's right ahead of what's political. But, neither Obama nor moderator Jim Lehrer is likely to allow McCain to simply dismiss his break with the American public on the issue as a testament to his own patriotism. McCain must find a way to quickly and effectively deal with the issue of his initial and ongoing support for the conflict and pivot to more comfortable ground for him -- like the surge.

Insider vs. Outsider: In an election year in which nearly three quarters of voters disapprove of the job Congress is doing, it's in both candidates' interest to paint themselves as outsiders to the political process. That case is easy for Obama to make since he has spent a relatively short period of time in the nation's capital. But, judging from a memo McCain's campaign sent out earlier today -- dismissing the inability to agree on a bailout package as a "familiar spectacle" -- you can bet that he isn't prepared to cede the outsider image to Obama. Our guess? McCain will use his lack of popularity in Washington ("I wasn't voted Mr. Congeniality...") and his decision to pick Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate as evidence of his commitment to "outsider" principles.

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Mississippi, Shedding the Shadows of the Past
Ole Miss is poised to host tonight's debate -- and intent upon showing the nation how far the state has come from its divisive past. (Photo: Linda Davidson/Post)

Washington Post Staff Writers
Friday, September 26, 2008; 12:49 PM

The debate is on.

Sen. John McCain late this morning declared a partial victory in the negotiations on Capitol Hill for an economic bailout package and said he would travel to Oxford, Miss. this afternoon to face Sen. Barack Obama at 9 p.m. EST.




 

Shortly after noon, the Republican presidential nominee and his wife Cindy McCain boarded their campaign jet at Reagan National Airport -- along with former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani, his wife Judith, campaign aides and reporters -- for the nearly two-hour flight to Memphis.

Obama left the capital around the same time, telling reporters on his plane that he was "optimistic" about a bailout deal.

"I think that there is real progress being made this morning and last night and I think it's important that the markets seem to be staying relatively calm at this point," Obama said. "And at this point, my strong sense is that the best thing that I can do, rather than to inject presidential politics into some delicate negotiations, is to go down to Mississippi and explain to the American people what is going on and my vision for leading the country over the next four years."

He said he would "look forward after the debate to coming back to Washington, and hopefully getting a package done."

The sudden turnabout by McCain, who had suspended his campaign and called for a delay in the face-off with Obama, clears the way for an historic clash between the two presidential candidates at a time of national turmoil at home and abroad.

The debate is designed as a forum for discussion of international issues, most importantly the war in Iraq, which has been a central issue in the election. But the meltdown on Wall Street is all but certain to emerge as the main topic, especially given McCain's dramatic and highly publicized actions during the last 48 hours.

On Wednesday, McCain declared that he was suspending his campaign to return to Washington, and urged President Bush to convene meetings of key congressional leadership and the two presidential candidates.

He said they should "meet until the crisis is resolved."

"I am directing my campaign to work with the Obama campaign and the commission on presidential debates to delay Friday night's debate until we have taken action to address this crisis," he said.

But after a contentious and unproductive day Thursday, in which the White House meeting devolved into argument, McCain reassessed the need for that kind of a conclusive resolution.

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